GD General Dynamics Corp
$330.89 · +0.30% vs $329.90 close · scored 15:48 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 61/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 61/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+26.9 composite−19.5 vs a week ago
Evidence
61 / 100 · top 35% today
1,139 contracts · quality 76 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
What traded today · weight 62%
+18.0 pts
735 calls · 64.5% 404 puts
bias +29.1 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+8.8 pts
2,227 call OI · 61.6% 1,387 put OI
bias +23.2 × 0.38
Equals
+26.9
67% of the score comes from today’s volume, 33% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −7.48% · tape +20.1 · corr -0.45
● peak +55 ▼ low −42.1 ◆ +95.1 in a day 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-09 $380 $327 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 7.48% while the tape has firmed 20.1 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 61 (65th pct) · quality 76 · 1,139 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led GD’s tape by 3 days (r=0.27, n=44)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on GD is poor 34% hit rate on 395 closed calls · payoff 1.62×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $330.89 highlighted. The $350 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 631). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
9 Oct · 4h
$330.89 → $330.89
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$327.72 → $330.89
+0.97% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$329.90 → $330.89
+0.30% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$329.90 → $330.89
+0.30% hit
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 168 of these 395 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 19.90 · fwd 18.95 Beta 0.320
52w $306.77–$400.00 IV rank —
Ask about GD answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +46 to +27 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +44.2 on 8 Oct, then fell to +26.9 on 9 Oct as the price moved from $326.63 to $329.90. It’s at +26.9 now.+18.0 from volume and +8.8 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 15:48 method · 62/38
Compare with SPCE Why is our GD record what it is? What’s the $350 wall?
What our data projects
−0.25 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#446 of 635 · helped by call/put volume tilt, price momentum (5 days), composite change (3 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $350 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
General Dynamics Corp · Aerospace & Defense
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+26.9 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
Why it’s +27
+18.0 volume · 65% calls+8.8 OI · 62% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +95.1 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-09 $380 $327 Price −7.48%, tape +20.1 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 61 (65th pct) · quality 76 · 1,139 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led GD’s tape by 3 days (r=0.27, n=44)
What traded today · 62%
+18.0 pts
735 calls · 404 puts · bias +29.1
What’s on the books · 38%
+8.8 pts
2,227 call OI · 1,387 put OI · bias +23.2
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −7.48% · tape +20.1 · corr -0.45
● peak +55 ▼ low −42.1 ◆ +95.1 in a day 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-09 $380 $327 Over 30 days, price has fallen 7.48% while the tape has firmed 20.1 points. The two are drifting apart.
34% hit rate · 395 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$330.89 → $330.89
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$327.72 → $330.89
+0.97% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$329.90 → $330.89
+0.30% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$329.90 → $330.89
+0.30% hit
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $350 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about GD
Why did the score drop from +46 to +27 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +44.2 on 8 Oct, then fell to +26.9 on 9 Oct as the price moved from $326.63 to $329.90. It’s at +26.9 now.+18.0 from volume and +8.8 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 15:48 method · 62/38
Compare with SPCE Why is our GD record what it is? What’s the $350 wall?