GE

General Electric Co

$305.62 · +0.00% vs $305.62 close · scored 14:42 · stale

Decision brief

NEUTRAL · 70/100

What changed

Composite weakened 5.4 points.

Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.

What would change the view

composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 70/100

For the read

options volume favours puts · signal has been stable · evidence confidence is high

Against / uncertainty

open interest leans against the read

The read

Neutral, well evidenced, but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.

−100 bearish0bullish +100

+8.6 composite┆ +14.1 yesterday (−5.4)−22.4 vs a week ago

Evidence

70 / 100 · top 14% today

7,229 contracts · quality 90 · stability 0.88

neutral · −0.20% · n=1,229

Why it’s +9

Method

What traded today · weight 62%

−10.5 pts

3,002 calls · 41.5%4,227 puts

bias −16.9 × 0.62

What’s on the books · weight 38%

+19.1 pts

52,448 call OI · 75.2%17,307 put OI

bias +50.4 × 0.38

Equals

+8.6

35% of the score comes from today’s volume, 65% from open interest. Disagree with either? See the method.

What changed: 43 days of tape against price

14d 43d 90d 365d · Reader

tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves30d: price −8.75% · tape +5.6 · corr 0.15

Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 8.75% while the tape has firmed 5.6 points. The two are drifting apart.

Should you trust it?

pass

Plenty behind it

confidence 70 (86th pct) · quality 90 · 7,229 contracts

pass

Stable

0.88 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 47

note

Neutral reads make no call

neutral · put-heavy · mid liquidity → −0.20% avg, n=1,229

note

Tape is confirming, not predicting

price has led GE’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.42, n=51)

note

Stretched vs its own history

today’s tape sits high relative to price

against

Our record on GE is poor

11% hit rate on 1442 closed calls · payoff 0.77×

Where the positions sit

calls tradedstrikeputs traded

$327.5

$325

$322.5

$320

$317.5

$315

$312.5

$310

$307.5

$305

$302.5

$300

$297.5

$295

$292.5

$290

$287.5

$285

$282.5

Spot $305.62 highlighted. The $350 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 15,629). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.

Our record on GE

Proof

11%

hit rate · 1442 closed

0.77×

payoff

−0.05%

avg return

9 Oct · 4h

$305.62 → $305.62

+0.00%flat

9 Oct · 4h

$305.62 → $305.62

+0.00%flat

9 Oct · 4h

$305.62 → $305.62

+0.00%flat

9 Oct · 4h

$305.62 → $305.62

+0.00%flat

One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1111 of these 1442 calls were flat.

Catalysts & context

EPS surprise · last 4 quarters

+10.91%Q3 ’25

+6.84%Q4 ’25

+12.95%Q1 ’26

+5.48%Q2 ’26

Street Buy-leaningNext report — P/E 35.60 · fwd 36.57Beta 1.432 52w $268.91–$388.84IV rank —