GS Goldman Sachs Group Inc
$893.46 · +0.00% vs $893.46 close · scored 10:44 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 63/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 63/100
For the read
No strong confirming evidence isolated.
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Neutral, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−3.4 composite−8.4 vs a week ago
Evidence
63 / 100 · top 30% today
18,839 contracts · quality 81 · stability 0.00
neutral · −0.51% · n=4,671
What traded today · weight 62%
−4.1 pts
8,802 calls · 46.7% 10,037 puts
bias −6.6 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+0.6 pts
38,799 call OI · 50.8% 37,541 put OI
bias +1.6 × 0.38
Equals
−3.4
87% of the score comes from today’s volume, 13% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −13.80% · tape −4.6 · corr 0.26
▼ low −9.5 ● peak +13 ◆ +20.6 in a day 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-10 $1,032 $893 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 13.80% while the tape has barely moved (−4.6). They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 63 (70th pct) · quality 81 · 18,839 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 66
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · mid liquidity → −0.51% avg, n=4,671
pass Tape has led price tape has led GS’s price by 3 days (r=0.15, n=44)
against Our record on GS is poor 24% hit rate on 383 closed calls · payoff 0.63×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $893.46 highlighted. The $1,000 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 3,966). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
6 Oct · 4h
$901.00 → $893.46
−0.84% hit
2 Oct · 4h
$903.48 → $903.48
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$901.21 → $901.21
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$896.67 → $896.67
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 149 of these 383 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Mixed Next report —
P/E 12.36 · fwd 13.09 Beta 1.293
52w $740.01–$1,153.99 IV rank —
Ask about GS answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +13 to −3 this week?
FlowDesk
It moved over several days. The composite was +5.0 on 5 Oct, then fell to −3.4 on 6 Oct as the price moved from $903.48 to $901.00. It’s at −3.4 now. Today’s −3.4 breaks down as −4.1 from volume and +0.6 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 10:44 method · 62/38
Compare with HOOD Why is our GS record what it is? What’s the $1000 wall?
What our data projects
−0.04 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#299 of 635 · helped by quality, tape composite, price momentum (5 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How
Tell me when… The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $1000 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Goldman Sachs Group Inc · Financial Services
Neutral, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−3.4 evidence 63
neutral · −0.51% · n=4,671
Why it’s −3
−4.1 volume · 47% calls+0.6 OI · 51% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +20.6 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-10 $1,032 $893
Price −13.80%, tape −4.6 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 63 (70th pct) · quality 81 · 18,839 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 66
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · mid liquidity → −0.51% avg, n=4,671
against Our record on GS is poor 24% hit rate on 383 closed calls · payoff 0.63×
What traded today · 62%
−4.1 pts
8,802 calls · 10,037 puts · bias −6.6
What’s on the books · 38%
+0.6 pts
38,799 call OI · 37,541 put OI · bias +1.6
tape composite (bars)— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −13.80% · tape −4.6 · corr 0.26
▼ low −9.5 ● peak +13 ◆ +20.6 in a day 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-10 $1,032 $893 Over 30 days, price has fallen 13.80% while the tape has barely moved (−4.6). They agree.
24% hit rate · 383 closed
6 Oct · 4h
$901.00 → $893.46
−0.84% hit
2 Oct · 4h
$903.48 → $903.48
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$901.21 → $901.21
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$896.67 → $896.67
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $1000 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about GS
Why did the score drop from +13 to −3 this week?
It moved over several days. The composite was +5.0 on 5 Oct, then fell to −3.4 on 6 Oct as the price moved from $903.48 to $901.00. It’s at −3.4 now. Today’s −3.4 breaks down as −4.1 from volume and +0.6 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 10:44 method · 62/38
Compare with HOOD Why is our GS record what it is? What’s the $1000 wall?