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GS$893.46 +0.00%+ Alert
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● 10 Oct · US closed · scored 10:44
● Sat 10 Oct 2026/US closed · opens Mon 14:30 BST/101 names scored today/last score 10:32 BSTResearch, not advice · every call is published at Proof

GS

Goldman Sachs Group Inc
$893.46 · +0.00% vs $893.46 close · scored 10:44 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 63/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 63/100
For the read
No strong confirming evidence isolated.
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Neutral, moderately evidenced, and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−3.4 composite−8.4 vs a week ago
Evidence
63 / 100 · top 30% today
18,839 contracts · quality 81 · stability 0.00
neutral · −0.51% · n=4,671
01

Why it’s −3

Method
What traded today · weight 62%
−4.1 pts
8,802 calls · 46.7%10,037 puts
bias −6.6 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+0.6 pts
38,799 call OI · 50.8%37,541 put OI
bias +1.6 × 0.38
Equals
−3.4
87% of the score comes from today’s volume, 13% from open interest. Disagree with either? See the method.
02

What changed: 43 days of tape against price

14d43d90d365d · Reader
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves30d: price −13.80% · tape −4.6 · corr 0.26
● peak +23▼ low −29.3◆ −50.1 in a day08-2709-0309-1009-1709-2410-0110-10$1,041$893

Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 13.80% while the tape has barely moved (−4.6). They agree.

03

Should you trust it?

note
Some evidence, not a lot
confidence 63 (70th pct) · quality 81 · 18,839 contracts
note
Jumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 66
note
Neutral reads make no call
neutral · balanced · mid liquidity → −0.51% avg, n=4,671
pass
Tape has led price
tape has led GS’s price by 3 days (r=0.15, n=44)
against
Our record on GS is poor
24% hit rate on 383 closed calls · payoff 0.63×
04

Where the positions sit

calls tradedstrikeputs traded
$925
$920
$915
$912.5
$910
$907.5
$905
$902.5
$900
$897.5
$895
$892.5
$890
$885
$880
$875
$870
$865
$860
Spot $893.46 highlighted. The $1,000 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 3,966). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05

Our record on GS

Proof
24%
hit rate · 383 closed
0.63×
payoff
−0.34%
avg return
6 Oct · 4h
$901.00 → $893.46
−0.84%hit
2 Oct · 4h
$903.48 → $903.48
+0.00%flat
2 Oct · 4h
$901.21 → $901.21
+0.00%flat
2 Oct · 4h
$896.67 → $896.67
+0.00%flat

One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 149 of these 383 calls were flat.

06

Catalysts & context

EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
+8.14%Q3 ’25
+16.53%Q4 ’25
+3.31%Q1 ’26
+40.71%Q2 ’26
Street MixedNext report — P/E 12.36 · fwd 13.09Beta 1.293 52w $740.01–$1,153.99IV rank —
Goldman Sachs Group Inc · Financial Services
Neutral, moderately evidenced. The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−3.4evidence 63
neutral · −0.51% · n=4,671
Why it’s −3
−4.1 volume · 47% calls+0.6 OI · 51% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −50.108-2709-0309-1009-1709-2410-0110-10$1,041$893
Price −13.80%, tape −4.6 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lot
confidence 63 (70th pct) · quality 81 · 18,839 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 66
noteNeutral reads make no call
neutral · balanced · mid liquidity → −0.51% avg, n=4,671
againstOur record on GS is poor
24% hit rate on 383 closed calls · payoff 0.63×
Ask about GS
Why did the score drop from +13 to −3 this week?
It moved over several days. The composite was +5.0 on 5 Oct, then fell to −3.4 on 6 Oct as the price moved from $903.48 to $901.00. It’s at −3.4 now.

Today’s −3.4 breaks down as −4.1 from volume and +0.6 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 ptsstock_scores · 10:44method · 62/38
Ask
Explain the $1000 wallCompare GS vs HOODAlert me before earnings