LMT Lockheed Martin Corp
$510.12 · +0.00% vs $510.12 close · scored 08:47 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 66/100
What changed
Composite weakened 14.3 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 66/100
For the read
signal has been stable
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Neutral, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+7.8 composite┆ +22.1 yesterday (−14.3) +0.0 vs a week ago
Evidence
66 / 100 · top 22% today
1,624 contracts · quality 86 · stability 0.82
neutral · +0.46% · n=12,762
What traded today · weight 62%
+5.4 pts
883 calls · 54.4% 741 puts
bias +8.7 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+2.3 pts
11,151 call OI · 53.1% 9,857 put OI
bias +6.2 × 0.38
Equals
+7.8
70% of the score comes from today’s volume, 30% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −2.89% · tape −28.3 · corr 0.19
▼ low −7.1 ● peak +22 ◆ +28.8 in a day 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-10 $538 $504 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 2.89% while the tape has faded 28.3 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 66 (78th pct) · quality 86 · 1,624 contracts
pass Stable 0.82 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 25
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · low liquidity → +0.46% avg, n=12,762
pass Tape has led price tape has led LMT’s price by 1 day (r=-0.26, n=43)
against Our record on LMT is poor 16% hit rate on 345 closed calls · payoff 0.41×
04
Where the positions sit No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
Spot $510.12. The $475 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 1,864). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
2 Oct · 4h
$504.05 → $504.05
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$506.71 → $506.71
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$506.35 → $506.35
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$506.80 → $506.80
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 139 of these 345 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Mixed Next report —
P/E 18.42 · fwd 16.25 Beta 0.128
52w $437.25–$692.00 IV rank —
Ask about LMT answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +22 to +8 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +22.1 on 1 Oct, then fell to +7.8 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $509.25 to $506.71. It’s at +7.8 now.+5.4 from volume and +2.3 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 08:47 method · 62/38
Compare with SPCE Why is our LMT record what it is? What’s the $475 wall?
What our data projects
−0.29 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#486 of 635 · helped by quality, tape composite, confidence. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $475 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Lockheed Martin Corp · Aerospace & Defense
Neutral, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+7.8 ┆ +22.1 yday evidence
neutral · +0.46% · n=12,762
Why it’s +8
+5.4 volume · 54% calls+2.3 OI · 53% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +28.8 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-10 $538 $504 Price −2.89%, tape −28.3 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 66 (78th pct) · quality 86 · 1,624 contracts
pass Stable 0.82 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 25
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · low liquidity → +0.46% avg, n=12,762
against Our record on LMT is poor 16% hit rate on 345 closed calls · payoff 0.41×
What traded today · 62%
+5.4 pts
883 calls · 741 puts · bias +8.7
What’s on the books · 38%
+2.3 pts
11,151 call OI · 9,857 put OI · bias +6.2
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −2.89% · tape −28.3 · corr 0.19
▼ low −7.1 ● peak +22 ◆ +28.8 in a day 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-10 $538 $504 Over 30 days, price has fallen 2.89% while the tape has faded 28.3 points. They agree.
No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
16% hit rate · 345 closed
2 Oct · 4h
$504.05 → $504.05
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$506.71 → $506.71
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$506.35 → $506.35
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$506.80 → $506.80
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $475 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about LMT
Why did the score drop from +22 to +8 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +22.1 on 1 Oct, then fell to +7.8 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $509.25 to $506.71. It’s at +7.8 now.+5.4 from volume and +2.3 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 08:47 method · 62/38
Compare with SPCE Why is our LMT record what it is? What’s the $475 wall?