LOW Lowe's Companies Inc
$188.85 · +0.00% vs $188.85 close · scored 14:42 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 67/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 67/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+49.1 composite+43.6 vs a week ago
Evidence
67 / 100 · top 19% today
8,306 contracts · quality 80 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −1.64% · n=25,061
What traded today · weight 62%
+34.2 pts
6,444 calls · 77.6% 1,862 puts
bias +55.2 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+14.9 pts
42,800 call OI · 69.6% 18,723 put OI
bias +39.1 × 0.38
Equals
+49.1
70% of the score comes from today’s volume, 30% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −5.95% · tape +45.5 · corr -0.65
▼ low −45.7 ◆ −61.5 in a day ● peak +49 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-09 $208 $181 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 5.95% while the tape has firmed 45.5 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 67 (81th pct) · quality 80 · 8,306 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.64% avg, n=25,061
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led LOW’s tape by 3 days (r=-0.34, n=50)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on LOW is poor 23% hit rate on 699 closed calls · payoff 1.24×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $188.85 highlighted. The $192.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 11,488). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
9 Oct · 4h
$188.85 → $188.85
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$188.85 → $188.85
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$188.85 → $188.85
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$188.85 → $188.85
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 361 of these 699 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 15.27 · fwd 15.40 Beta 0.839
52w $178.45–$293.06 IV rank —
Ask about LOW answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from +0 to +49 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +5.4 on 2 Oct, then rose to +46.4 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $182.38 to $180.80. It’s at +49.1 now. Today’s +49.1 breaks down as +34.2 from volume and +14.9 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 14:42 method · 62/38
Compare with BABA Why is our LOW record what it is? What’s the $192.5 wall?
What our data projects
−0.13 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#356 of 635 · helped by call/put volume tilt, confidence. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How
Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $192.5 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Lowe's Companies Inc · Retail
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+49.1 evidence 67
hasn’t paid −1.64% · n=25,061
Why it’s +49
+34.2 volume · 78% calls+14.9 OI · 70% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −61.5 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-09 $208 $181
Price −5.95%, tape +45.5 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 67 (81th pct) · quality 80 · 8,306 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.64% avg, n=25,061
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led LOW’s tape by 3 days (r=-0.34, n=50)
What traded today · 62%
+34.2 pts
6,444 calls · 1,862 puts · bias +55.2
What’s on the books · 38%
+14.9 pts
42,800 call OI · 18,723 put OI · bias +39.1
tape composite (bars)— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −5.95% · tape +45.5 · corr -0.65
▼ low −45.7 ◆ −61.5 in a day ● peak +49 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-09 $208 $181 Over 30 days, price has fallen 5.95% while the tape has firmed 45.5 points. The two are drifting apart.
23% hit rate · 699 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$188.85 → $188.85
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$188.85 → $188.85
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$188.85 → $188.85
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$188.85 → $188.85
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $192.5 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about LOW
Why did the score rise from +0 to +49 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +5.4 on 2 Oct, then rose to +46.4 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $182.38 to $180.80. It’s at +49.1 now. Today’s +49.1 breaks down as +34.2 from volume and +14.9 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 14:42 method · 62/38
Compare with BABA Why is our LOW record what it is? What’s the $192.5 wall?