NEE Nextera Energy Inc
$77.11 · −0.39% vs $77.41 close · scored 14:32 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 74/100
What changed
Composite weakened 2.4 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 74/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Mildly bullish, well evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+23.3 composite┆ +25.7 yesterday (−2.4) −7.3 vs a week ago
Evidence
74 / 100 · top 9% today
10,833 contracts · quality 87 · stability 0.73
hasn’t paid −0.74% · n=9,948
What traded today · weight 62%
+20.0 pts
7,164 calls · 66.1% 3,669 puts
bias +32.3 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+3.3 pts
263,859 call OI · 54.4% 221,331 put OI
bias +8.8 × 0.38
Equals
+23.3
86% of the score comes from today’s volume, 14% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −7.66% · tape −16.7 · corr -0.48
▼ low +12.7 ● peak +53 ◆ −29.2 in a day 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $77 $75 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 7.66% while the tape has faded 16.7 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 74 (91th pct) · quality 87 · 10,833 contracts
note Jumpy 0.73 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 37
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −0.74% avg, n=9,948
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led NEE’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.36, n=51)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on NEE is poor 29% hit rate on 1945 closed calls · payoff 0.95×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $77.11 highlighted. The $75 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 61,200). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
29%
hit rate · 1945 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$77.11 → $77.11
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$77.37 → $77.11
−0.34% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$77.37 → $77.11
−0.34% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$77.37 → $77.11
−0.34% miss
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1119 of these 1945 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 16.86 · fwd 18.40 Beta 0.616
52w $73.59–$98.75 IV rank —
Ask about NEE answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +31 to +23 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +52.5 on 7 Oct, then fell to +23.3 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $76.83 to $77.06. It’s at +23.3 now.+20.0 from volume and +3.3 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 52 pts stock_scores · 14:32 method · 62/38
Compare with D Why is our NEE record what it is? What’s the $75 wall?
What our data projects
+0.17 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#181 of 635 · helped by quality, confidence, last day's move. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $75 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Nextera Energy Inc · Utilities
Mildly bullish, well evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+23.3 ┆ +25.7 yday evidence
hasn’t paid −0.74% · n=9,948
Why it’s +23
+20.0 volume · 66% calls+3.3 OI · 54% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −29.2 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $77 $75 Price −7.66%, tape −16.7 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 74 (91th pct) · quality 87 · 10,833 contracts
note Jumpy 0.73 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 37
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −0.74% avg, n=9,948
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led NEE’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.36, n=51)
What traded today · 62%
+20.0 pts
7,164 calls · 3,669 puts · bias +32.3
What’s on the books · 38%
+3.3 pts
263,859 call OI · 221,331 put OI · bias +8.8
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −7.66% · tape −16.7 · corr -0.48
▼ low +12.7 ● peak +53 ◆ −29.2 in a day 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $77 $75 Over 30 days, price has fallen 7.66% while the tape has faded 16.7 points. They agree.
29% hit rate · 1945 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$77.11 → $77.11
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$77.37 → $77.11
−0.34% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$77.37 → $77.11
−0.34% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$77.37 → $77.11
−0.34% miss
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $75 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about NEE
Why did the score drop from +31 to +23 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +52.5 on 7 Oct, then fell to +23.3 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $76.83 to $77.06. It’s at +23.3 now.+20.0 from volume and +3.3 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 52 pts stock_scores · 14:32 method · 62/38
Compare with D Why is our NEE record what it is? What’s the $75 wall?