NOC Northrop Grumman Corp
$473.46 · +0.00% vs $473.46 close · scored 07:23 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 61/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 61/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+18.0 composite+9.3 vs a week ago
Evidence
61 / 100 · top 35% today
2,341 contracts · quality 77 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −1.11% · n=9,499
What traded today · weight 62%
+16.7 pts
1,485 calls · 63.4% 856 puts
bias +26.9 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+1.3 pts
6,894 call OI · 51.7% 6,440 put OI
bias +3.4 × 0.38
Equals
+18.0
93% of the score comes from today’s volume, 7% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −8.06% · tape −23.9 · corr -0.07
● peak +39 ▼ low −1.3 ◆ −40.0 in a day 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-06 10-08 10-09 $515 $473 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 8.06% while the tape has faded 23.9 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 61 (65th pct) · quality 77 · 2,341 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −1.11% avg, n=9,499
pass Tape has led price tape has led NOC’s price by 1 day (r=0.32, n=43)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on NOC is poor 8% hit rate on 291 closed calls · payoff 0.35×
04
Where the positions sit No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
Spot $473.46. The $520 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 956).
4 Oct · 4h
$478.00 → $478.00
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$480.00 → $480.00
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$480.50 → $480.50
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$482.00 → $482.00
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 134 of these 291 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 15.26 · fwd 16.98 Beta -0.110
52w $470.06–$774.00 IV rank —
Ask about NOC answers from FlowDesk data only
You
What is behind today’s +18.0?
FlowDesk
The composite has held within 1.2 points of +18.0 across the last 8 sessions.+16.7 from volume and +1.3 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 07:23 method · 62/38
Compare with SPCE Why is our NOC record what it is? What’s the $520 wall?
What our data projects
−0.02 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#285 of 635 · helped by price momentum (5 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $520 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Northrop Grumman Corp · Aerospace & Defense
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+18.0 evidence
hasn’t paid −1.11% · n=9,499
Why it’s +18
+16.7 volume · 63% calls+1.3 OI · 52% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −40.0 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-06 10-08 10-09 $515 $473 Price −8.06%, tape −23.9 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 61 (65th pct) · quality 77 · 2,341 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −1.11% avg, n=9,499
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
What traded today · 62%
+16.7 pts
1,485 calls · 856 puts · bias +26.9
What’s on the books · 38%
+1.3 pts
6,894 call OI · 6,440 put OI · bias +3.4
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −8.06% · tape −23.9 · corr -0.07
● peak +39 ▼ low −1.3 ◆ −40.0 in a day 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-06 10-08 10-09 $515 $473 Over 30 days, price has fallen 8.06% while the tape has faded 23.9 points. They agree.
No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
8% hit rate · 291 closed
4 Oct · 4h
$478.00 → $478.00
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$480.00 → $480.00
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$480.50 → $480.50
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$482.00 → $482.00
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $520 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about NOC
What is behind today’s +18.0?
The composite has held within 1.2 points of +18.0 across the last 8 sessions.+16.7 from volume and +1.3 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 07:23 method · 62/38
Compare with SPCE Why is our NOC record what it is? What’s the $520 wall?