OXY Occidental Petroleum Corp
$60.19 · +3.62% vs $58.08 close · scored 20:39 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 72/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 72/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, well evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+61.0 composite+3.7 vs a week ago
Evidence
72 / 100 · top 11% today
20,074 contracts · quality 81 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −1.64% · n=25,061
What traded today · weight 62%
+39.3 pts
16,396 calls · 81.7% 3,678 puts
bias +63.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+21.7 pts
91,454 call OI · 78.6% 24,914 put OI
bias +57.2 × 0.38
Equals
+61.0
64% of the score comes from today’s volume, 36% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −3.26% · tape +23.9 · corr -0.51
● peak +85 ◆ +46.4 in a day ▼ low +14.8 08-26 09-02 09-09 09-16 09-24 10-01 10-08 $62 $55 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 3.26% while the tape has firmed 23.9 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 72 (89th pct) · quality 81 · 20,074 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.64% avg, n=25,061
pass Tape has led price tape has led OXY’s price by 1 day (r=-0.31, n=43)
against Our record on OXY is poor 5% hit rate on 734 closed calls · payoff 1.07×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $60.19 highlighted. The $60 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 23,326). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
8 Oct · 4h
$60.19 → $60.19
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$58.08 → $58.08
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$57.09 → $57.09
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$57.84 → $57.84
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 193 of these 734 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Mixed Next report —
P/E 7.98 · fwd 11.75 Beta 0.195
52w $38.80–$67.45 IV rank —
Ask about OXY answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from +57 to +61 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +57.1 on 2 Oct, then rose to +68.4 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $57.84 to $58.08. It’s at +61.0 now.+39.3 from volume and +21.7 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 20:39 method · 62/38
Compare with SLB Why is our OXY record what it is? What’s the $60 wall?
What our data projects
−0.01 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#274 of 635 · helped by quality, call/put volume tilt, confidence. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $60 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Occidental Petroleum Corp · Energy
Strongly bullish, well evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+61.0 evidence
hasn’t paid −1.64% · n=25,061
Why it’s +61
+39.3 volume · 82% calls+21.7 OI · 79% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +46.4 08-26 09-02 09-09 09-16 09-24 10-01 10-08 $62 $55 Price −3.26%, tape +23.9 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 72 (89th pct) · quality 81 · 20,074 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.64% avg, n=25,061
against Our record on OXY is poor 5% hit rate on 734 closed calls · payoff 1.07×
What traded today · 62%
+39.3 pts
16,396 calls · 3,678 puts · bias +63.4
What’s on the books · 38%
+21.7 pts
91,454 call OI · 24,914 put OI · bias +57.2
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −3.26% · tape +23.9 · corr -0.51
● peak +85 ◆ +46.4 in a day ▼ low +14.8 08-26 09-02 09-09 09-16 09-24 10-01 10-08 $62 $55 Over 30 days, price has fallen 3.26% while the tape has firmed 23.9 points. The two are drifting apart.
5% hit rate · 734 closed
8 Oct · 4h
$60.19 → $60.19
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$58.08 → $58.08
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$57.09 → $57.09
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$57.84 → $57.84
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $60 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about OXY
Why did the score rise from +57 to +61 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +57.1 on 2 Oct, then rose to +68.4 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $57.84 to $58.08. It’s at +61.0 now.+39.3 from volume and +21.7 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 20:39 method · 62/38
Compare with SLB Why is our OXY record what it is? What’s the $60 wall?