PCG PG&E Corp
$12.32 · +0.00% vs $12.32 close · scored 06:31 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 78/100
What changed
Composite weakened 6.5 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 78/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · signal has been stable · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bullish, well evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+41.1 composite┆ +47.6 yesterday (−6.5) −6.5 vs a week ago
Evidence
78 / 100 · top 5% today
6,205 contracts · quality 91 · stability 0.90
hasn’t paid −1.64% · n=25,061
What traded today · weight 62%
+24.9 pts
4,348 calls · 70.1% 1,857 puts
bias +40.1 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+16.2 pts
222,085 call OI · 71.3% 89,326 put OI
bias +42.6 × 0.38
Equals
+41.1
61% of the score comes from today’s volume, 39% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −16.93% · tape +0.5 · corr 0.24
● peak +53 ▼ low −12.6 ◆ −65.8 in a day 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $14 $12 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 16.93% while the tape has barely moved (+0.5). The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 78 (95th pct) · quality 91 · 6,205 contracts
pass Stable 0.90 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.64% avg, n=25,061
pass Tape has led price tape has led PCG’s price by 3 days (r=0.21, n=44)
against Our record on PCG is poor 10% hit rate on 2000 closed calls · payoff 1.23×
04
Where the positions sit No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
Spot $12.32. The $20 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 71,704). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
10%
hit rate · 2000 closed
3 Oct · 4h
$12.32 → $12.32
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$12.28 → $12.28
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$12.17 → $12.17
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$12.20 → $12.20
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1639 of these 2000 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 8.66 · fwd 7.32 Beta 0.204
52w $11.77–$19.16 IV rank —
Ask about PCG answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from −13 to +41 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was −12.6 on 1 Oct, then rose to +47.6 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $12.18 to $12.17. It’s at +41.1 now.+24.9 from volume and +16.2 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 06:31 method · 62/38
Compare with D Why is our PCG record what it is? What’s the $20 wall?
What our data projects
+0.53 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#53 of 635 · helped by quality, call/put volume tilt, confidence. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $20 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
PG&E Corp · Utilities
Strongly bullish, well evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+41.1 ┆ +47.6 yday evidence
hasn’t paid −1.64% · n=25,061
Why it’s +41
+24.9 volume · 70% calls+16.2 OI · 71% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −65.8 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $14 $12 Price −16.93%, tape +0.5 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 78 (95th pct) · quality 91 · 6,205 contracts
pass Stable 0.90 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.64% avg, n=25,061
against Our record on PCG is poor 10% hit rate on 2000 closed calls · payoff 1.23×
What traded today · 62%
+24.9 pts
4,348 calls · 1,857 puts · bias +40.1
What’s on the books · 38%
+16.2 pts
222,085 call OI · 89,326 put OI · bias +42.6
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −16.93% · tape +0.5 · corr 0.24
● peak +53 ▼ low −12.6 ◆ −65.8 in a day 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $14 $12 Over 30 days, price has fallen 16.93% while the tape has barely moved (+0.5). The two are drifting apart.
No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
10% hit rate · 2000 closed
3 Oct · 4h
$12.32 → $12.32
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$12.28 → $12.28
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$12.17 → $12.17
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$12.20 → $12.20
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $20 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about PCG
Why did the score rise from −13 to +41 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was −12.6 on 1 Oct, then rose to +47.6 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $12.18 to $12.17. It’s at +41.1 now.+24.9 from volume and +16.2 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 06:31 method · 62/38
Compare with D Why is our PCG record what it is? What’s the $20 wall?