PEP PepsiCo Inc
$128.34 · +0.00% vs $128.34 close · scored 14:29 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 75/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 75/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, well evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+26.5 composite+11.1 vs a week ago
Evidence
75 / 100 · top 8% today
58,769 contracts · quality 82 · stability 0.00
has paid +1.17% · n=12,971
What traded today · weight 62%
+9.9 pts
34,063 calls · 58.0% 24,706 puts
bias +15.9 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+16.6 pts
110,769 call OI · 71.9% 43,286 put OI
bias +43.8 × 0.38
Equals
+26.5
37% of the score comes from today’s volume, 63% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −6.75% · tape −23.2 · corr -0.17
● peak +57 ◆ −51.3 in a day ▼ low −17.7 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-23 09-30 10-08 10-09 $142 $125 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 6.75% while the tape has faded 23.2 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 75 (92th pct) · quality 82 · 58,769 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · high liquidity → +1.17% avg, n=12,971
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led PEP’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.46, n=43)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on PEP is poor 10% hit rate on 294 closed calls · payoff 0.43×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $128.34 highlighted. The $155 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 42,781). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
9 Oct · 4h
$128.34 → $128.34
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$128.34 → $128.34
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$128.34 → $128.34
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$128.34 → $128.34
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 147 of these 294 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Mixed Next report —
P/E 16.34 · fwd 14.80 Beta 0.345
52w $125.16–$171.48 IV rank —
Ask about PEP answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from +23 to +27 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +15.5 on 2 Oct, then rose to +33.7 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $125.60 to $125.89. It’s at +26.5 now.+9.9 from volume and +16.6 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 14:29 method · 62/38
Compare with KO Why is our PEP record what it is? What’s the $155 wall?
What our data projects
−0.26 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#455 of 635 · helped by quality, confidence. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $155 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
PepsiCo Inc · Beverages
Strongly bullish, well evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+26.5 evidence
has paid +1.17% · n=12,971
Why it’s +27
+9.9 volume · 58% calls+16.6 OI · 72% calls
44 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −51.3 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-23 09-30 10-08 10-09 $142 $125 Price −6.75%, tape −23.2 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 75 (92th pct) · quality 82 · 58,769 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led PEP’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.46, n=43)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
What traded today · 62%
+9.9 pts
34,063 calls · 24,706 puts · bias +15.9
What’s on the books · 38%
+16.6 pts
110,769 call OI · 43,286 put OI · bias +43.8
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −6.75% · tape −23.2 · corr -0.17
● peak +57 ◆ −51.3 in a day ▼ low −17.7 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-23 09-30 10-08 10-09 $142 $125 Over 30 days, price has fallen 6.75% while the tape has faded 23.2 points. They agree.
10% hit rate · 294 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$128.34 → $128.34
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$128.34 → $128.34
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$128.34 → $128.34
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$128.34 → $128.34
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $155 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about PEP
Why did the score rise from +23 to +27 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +15.5 on 2 Oct, then rose to +33.7 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $125.60 to $125.89. It’s at +26.5 now.+9.9 from volume and +16.6 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 14:29 method · 62/38
Compare with KO Why is our PEP record what it is? What’s the $155 wall?