PPG PPG Industries Inc
$104.85 · −0.58% vs $105.46 close · scored 15:42 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 60/100
What changed
The read is broadly unchanged.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 60/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+46.7 composite┆ +46.7 yesterday (+0.0) −18.9 vs a week ago
Evidence
60 / 100 · top 38% today
403 contracts · quality 80 · stability 0.71
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
What traded today · weight 62%
+26.3 pts
287 calls · 71.2% 116 puts
bias +42.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+20.4 pts
2,777 call OI · 76.8% 839 put OI
bias +53.6 × 0.38
Equals
+46.7
56% of the score comes from today’s volume, 44% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −3.95% · tape +19.5 · corr -0.27
▼ low +22.8 ◆ −30.3 in a day ● peak +67 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $108 $104 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 3.95% while the tape has firmed 19.5 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 60 (62th pct) · quality 80 · 403 contracts
note Jumpy 0.71 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led PPG’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.38, n=44)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on PPG is poor 22% hit rate on 309 closed calls · payoff 1.56×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $104.85 highlighted. The $105 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 968). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
9 Oct · 4h
$104.85 → $104.85
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$105.46 → $104.85
−0.58% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$105.46 → $104.85
−0.58% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$105.46 → $104.85
−0.58% miss
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 171 of these 309 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Mixed Next report —
P/E 14.87 · fwd 12.75 Beta 1.019
52w $93.39–$133.43 IV rank —
Ask about PPG answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +66 to +47 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +65.6 on 7 Oct, then fell to +46.9 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $105.15 to $105.08. It’s at +46.7 now.+26.3 from volume and +20.4 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 15:42 method · 62/38
Compare with SHW Why is our PPG record what it is? What’s the $105 wall?
What our data projects
−0.02 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#284 of 635 · helped by call/put volume tilt, price momentum (5 days), last day's move. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $105 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
PPG Industries Inc · Chemicals
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+46.7 ┆ +46.7 yday evidence
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
Why it’s +47
+26.3 volume · 71% calls+20.4 OI · 77% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −30.3 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $108 $104 Price −3.95%, tape +19.5 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 60 (62th pct) · quality 80 · 403 contracts
note Jumpy 0.71 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led PPG’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.38, n=44)
What traded today · 62%
+26.3 pts
287 calls · 116 puts · bias +42.4
What’s on the books · 38%
+20.4 pts
2,777 call OI · 839 put OI · bias +53.6
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −3.95% · tape +19.5 · corr -0.27
▼ low +22.8 ◆ −30.3 in a day ● peak +67 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $108 $104 Over 30 days, price has fallen 3.95% while the tape has firmed 19.5 points. The two are drifting apart.
22% hit rate · 309 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$104.85 → $104.85
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$105.46 → $104.85
−0.58% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$105.46 → $104.85
−0.58% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$105.46 → $104.85
−0.58% miss
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $105 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about PPG
Why did the score drop from +66 to +47 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +65.6 on 7 Oct, then fell to +46.9 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $105.15 to $105.08. It’s at +46.7 now.+26.3 from volume and +20.4 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 15:42 method · 62/38
Compare with SHW Why is our PPG record what it is? What’s the $105 wall?