ROST Ross Stores Inc
$221.61 · −3.22% vs $228.98 close · scored 08:47 · stale
Decision brief
BEARISH · 63/100
What changed
Composite weakened 17.0 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 63/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−41.6 composite┆ −24.7 yesterday (−17.0) +0.0 vs a week ago
Evidence
63 / 100 · top 30% today
1,021 contracts · quality 83 · stability 0.73
hasn’t paid +0.10% · n=21,921
What traded today · weight 62%
−22.0 pts
329 calls · 32.2% 692 puts
bias −35.6 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−19.6 pts
6,369 call OI · 24.2% 19,938 put OI
bias −51.6 × 0.38
Equals
−41.6
53% of the score comes from today’s volume, 47% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −3.94% · tape −36.1 · corr 0.55
● peak +43 ▼ low −68.6 ◆ +102.1 in a day 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-23 09-30 10-07 10-10 $241 $222 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 3.94% while the tape has faded 36.1 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 63 (70th pct) · quality 83 · 1,021 contracts
note Jumpy 0.73 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → +0.10% avg, n=21,921
pass Tape has led price tape has led ROST’s price by 1 day (r=-0.21, n=43)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on ROST is poor 17% hit rate on 257 closed calls · payoff 0.78×
04
Where the positions sit No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
Spot $221.61. The $240 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 7,930). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on ROST Proof 2 Oct · 4h
$228.98 → $228.98
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$234.18 → $234.18
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$234.79 → $234.79
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$232.51 → $232.51
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 132 of these 257 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 27.05 · fwd 26.66 Beta 0.854
52w $147.49–$257.00 IV rank —
Ask about ROST answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from −25 to −42 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was −24.7 on 1 Oct, then fell to −41.6 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $233.40 to $234.18. It’s at −41.6 now.−22.0 from volume and −19.6 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 08:47 method · 62/38
Compare with BABA Why is our ROST record what it is? What’s the $240 wall?
What our data projects
+0.11 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#211 of 635 · helped by tape composite, price momentum (5 days), last day's move. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $240 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Ross Stores Inc · Retail
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−41.6 ┆ −24.7 yday evidence
hasn’t paid +0.10% · n=21,921
Why it’s −42
−22.0 volume · 32% calls−19.6 OI · 24% calls
44 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +102.1 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-23 09-30 10-07 10-10 $241 $222 Price −3.94%, tape −36.1 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 63 (70th pct) · quality 83 · 1,021 contracts
note Jumpy 0.73 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → +0.10% avg, n=21,921
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
What traded today · 62%
−22.0 pts
329 calls · 692 puts · bias −35.6
What’s on the books · 38%
−19.6 pts
6,369 call OI · 19,938 put OI · bias −51.6
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −3.94% · tape −36.1 · corr 0.55
● peak +43 ▼ low −68.6 ◆ +102.1 in a day 08-25 09-01 09-08 09-15 09-23 09-30 10-07 10-10 $241 $222 Over 30 days, price has fallen 3.94% while the tape has faded 36.1 points. They agree.
No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
17% hit rate · 257 closed
2 Oct · 4h
$228.98 → $228.98
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$234.18 → $234.18
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$234.79 → $234.79
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$232.51 → $232.51
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $240 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about ROST
Why did the score drop from −25 to −42 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was −24.7 on 1 Oct, then fell to −41.6 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $233.40 to $234.18. It’s at −41.6 now.−22.0 from volume and −19.6 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 08:47 method · 62/38
Compare with BABA Why is our ROST record what it is? What’s the $240 wall?