SBUX Starbucks Corp
$94.81 · +0.00% vs $94.81 close · scored 09:24 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 67/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 67/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+17.2 composite+0.0 vs a week ago
Evidence
67 / 100 · top 19% today
7,685 contracts · quality 80 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.74% · n=9,948
What traded today · weight 62%
+12.4 pts
4,609 calls · 60.0% 3,076 puts
bias +19.9 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+4.9 pts
36,206 call OI · 56.4% 27,982 put OI
bias +12.8 × 0.38
Equals
+17.2
72% of the score comes from today’s volume, 28% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −9.25% · tape +4.7 · corr -0.14
● peak +35 ▼ low −0.3 ◆ −25.5 in a day 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-10 $95 $94 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 9.25% while the tape has barely moved (+4.7). The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 67 (81th pct) · quality 80 · 7,685 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −0.74% avg, n=9,948
note No reliable lead enough history exists, but no tape/price lead clears the reliability threshold (r=0.00, n=50)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on SBUX is poor 7% hit rate on 1318 closed calls · payoff 0.96×
04
Where the positions sit No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
Spot $94.81. The $100 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 8,544). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on SBUX Proof 2 Oct · 4h
$94.81 → $94.81
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$95.25 → $95.25
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$94.66 → $94.66
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$94.03 → $94.03
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1068 of these 1318 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Mixed Next report —
P/E 55.03 · fwd 30.35 Beta 1.045
52w $77.99–$110.51 IV rank —
Ask about SBUX answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from +7 to +17 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +6.8 on 1 Oct, then rose to +17.2 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $93.96 to $95.25. It’s at +17.2 now.+12.4 from volume and +4.9 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 09:24 method · 62/38
Compare with MCD Why is our SBUX record what it is? What’s the $100 wall?
What our data projects
−0.28 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#476 of 635 · helped by confidence. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $100 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Starbucks Corp · Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+17.2 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.74% · n=9,948
Why it’s +17
+12.4 volume · 60% calls+4.9 OI · 56% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −25.5 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-10 $95 $94 Price −9.25%, tape +4.7 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 67 (81th pct) · quality 80 · 7,685 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −0.74% avg, n=9,948
note No reliable lead enough history exists, but no tape/price lead clears the reliability threshold (r=0.00, n=50)
What traded today · 62%
+12.4 pts
4,609 calls · 3,076 puts · bias +19.9
What’s on the books · 38%
+4.9 pts
36,206 call OI · 27,982 put OI · bias +12.8
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −9.25% · tape +4.7 · corr -0.14
● peak +35 ▼ low −0.3 ◆ −25.5 in a day 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-10 $95 $94 Over 30 days, price has fallen 9.25% while the tape has barely moved (+4.7). The two are drifting apart.
No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
7% hit rate · 1318 closed
2 Oct · 4h
$94.81 → $94.81
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$95.25 → $95.25
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$94.66 → $94.66
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$94.03 → $94.03
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $100 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about SBUX
Why did the score rise from +7 to +17 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +6.8 on 1 Oct, then rose to +17.2 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $93.96 to $95.25. It’s at +17.2 now.+12.4 from volume and +4.9 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 09:24 method · 62/38
Compare with MCD Why is our SBUX record what it is? What’s the $100 wall?