STRL Sterling Infrastructure Inc
$523.33 · +0.00% vs $523.33 close · scored 05:12 · stale
Decision brief
BEARISH · 60/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 60/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−37.9 composite−0.6 vs a week ago
Evidence
60 / 100 · top 38% today
790 contracts · quality 73 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid +0.10% · n=21,921
What traded today · weight 62%
−23.7 pts
244 calls · 30.9% 546 puts
bias −38.2 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−14.2 pts
1,152 call OI · 31.3% 2,530 put OI
bias −37.4 × 0.38
Equals
−37.9
62% of the score comes from today’s volume, 38% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +3.92% · tape −3.7 · corr -0.23
▼ low −48.7 ● peak +36 ◆ +51.0 in a day 08-19 08-27 09-04 09-12 09-20 09-28 10-06 10-09 $540 $455 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 3.92% while the tape has barely moved (−3.7). The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 60 (62th pct) · quality 73 · 790 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → +0.10% avg, n=21,921
note No reliable lead enough history exists, but no tape/price lead clears the reliability threshold (r=0.00, n=50)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
against Our record on STRL is poor 23% hit rate on 642 closed calls · payoff 1.35×
04
Where the positions sit No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
Spot $523.33. The $370 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 354).
05 Our record on STRL Proof 3 Oct · 4h
$533.42 → $533.42
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$522.57 → $522.57
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$505.12 → $505.12
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$505.00 → $505.00
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 371 of these 642 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 37.38 · fwd 23.17 Beta 1.943
52w $281.58–$1,005.68 IV rank —
Ask about STRL answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from −25 to −38 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was −25.2 on 1 Oct, then fell to −37.3 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $500.00 to $505.12. It’s at −37.9 now.−23.7 from volume and −14.2 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 05:12 method · 62/38
Compare with VMC Why is our STRL record what it is? What’s the $370 wall?
What our data projects
−0.12 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#354 of 635 · helped by tape composite, price momentum (5 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $370 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Sterling Infrastructure Inc · Construction
Strongly bearish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−37.9 evidence
hasn’t paid +0.10% · n=21,921
Why it’s −38
−23.7 volume · 31% calls−14.2 OI · 31% calls
51 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +51.0 08-19 08-27 09-04 09-12 09-20 09-28 10-06 10-09 $540 $455 Price +3.92%, tape −3.7 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 60 (62th pct) · quality 73 · 790 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → +0.10% avg, n=21,921
note No reliable lead enough history exists, but no tape/price lead clears the reliability threshold (r=0.00, n=50)
What traded today · 62%
−23.7 pts
244 calls · 546 puts · bias −38.2
What’s on the books · 38%
−14.2 pts
1,152 call OI · 2,530 put OI · bias −37.4
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +3.92% · tape −3.7 · corr -0.23
▼ low −48.7 ● peak +36 ◆ +51.0 in a day 08-19 08-27 09-04 09-12 09-20 09-28 10-06 10-09 $540 $455 Over 30 days, price has risen 3.92% while the tape has barely moved (−3.7). The two are drifting apart.
No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
23% hit rate · 642 closed
3 Oct · 4h
$533.42 → $533.42
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$522.57 → $522.57
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$505.12 → $505.12
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$505.00 → $505.00
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $370 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about STRL
Why did the score drop from −25 to −38 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was −25.2 on 1 Oct, then fell to −37.3 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $500.00 to $505.12. It’s at −37.9 now.−23.7 from volume and −14.2 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 05:12 method · 62/38
Compare with VMC Why is our STRL record what it is? What’s the $370 wall?