VWO has the strongest read; IWM has the most behind it.
One lean bullish, two bearish. The difference is evidence and record: IWM’s read rests on 412,364 contracts but our 4h record on it is 19%; VWO’s bucket has paid historically.
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| The read | Strongly bullish | Neutral | Mildly bearish | Mildly bearish |
| −100 · 0 · +100 | ||||
| Composite | +59.9 | −6.6 | −19.5 | −24.5 |
| Evidence | 61 | 85 | 80 | 79 |
| Quality | 83 | 93 | 85 | 84 |
| Price | $59.10 | $270.44 | $776.93 | $53.62 |
| Contracts today | 385 | 412,364 | 14,221,662 | 184,520 |
| Calibration | has paid +0.03% · n=74,841 | neutral · +0.64% · n=659 | has paid −0.21% · n=201 | has paid −0.36% · n=233 |
| 30d tape (ink) vs price (dashed) | ||||
| Our record here, 4h | 29% of 223 checked | 19% of 2,000 checked | 3% of 1,123 checked | 6% of 522 checked |
02
Tape, 43 days, same axis
VWOIWMSPYXLFtape_history · hourly, daily close shown
All values from the same rows as each stock page (stock_scores, tape_history, score_outcomes, tape calibration). Compare keeps the stock-page glyphs so nothing needs relearning.