WMT Walmart Inc
$110.43 · −0.14% vs $110.59 close · scored 14:32 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 90/100
What changed
Composite strengthened 4.6 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 90/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · signal has been stable · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bullish, well evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+30.2 composite┆ +25.6 yesterday (+4.6) −9.1 vs a week ago
Evidence
90 / 100 · top 1% today
166,855 contracts · quality 94 · stability 0.84
has paid +1.17% · n=12,971
What traded today · weight 62%
+20.4 pts
110,848 calls · 66.4% 56,007 puts
bias +32.9 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+9.9 pts
851,517 call OI · 63.0% 500,662 put OI
bias +25.9 × 0.38
Equals
+30.2
67% of the score comes from today’s volume, 33% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +4.45% · tape −20.4 · corr 0.24
● peak +53 ◆ −11.1 in a day ▼ low +30.2 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $111 $104 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 4.45% while the tape has faded 20.4 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 90 (99th pct) · quality 94 · 166,855 contracts
pass Stable 0.84 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · high liquidity → +1.17% avg, n=12,971
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led WMT’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.36, n=50)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
against Our record on WMT is poor 30% hit rate on 685 closed calls · payoff 1.79×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $110.43 highlighted. The $115 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 199,057). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
9 Oct · 4h
$110.43 → $110.43
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$110.56 → $110.43
−0.12% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$110.56 → $110.43
−0.12% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$110.56 → $110.43
−0.12% miss
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 372 of these 685 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report 20 Aug BMO
P/E 39.82 · fwd 35.50 Beta 0.558
52w $98.88–$135.16 IV rank —
Ask about WMT answers from FlowDesk data only
You
What is behind today’s +30.2?
FlowDesk
The composite has held within 0.7 points of +30.2 across the last 8 sessions.+20.4 from volume and +9.9 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 14:32 method · 62/38
Compare with GME Why is our WMT record what it is? What’s the $115 wall?
What our data projects
+0.32 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#119 of 635 · helped by quality, confidence, last day's move. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $115 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Walmart Inc · Retail
Strongly bullish, well evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+30.2 ┆ +25.6 yday evidence
has paid +1.17% · n=12,971
Why it’s +30
+20.4 volume · 66% calls+9.9 OI · 63% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −11.1 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $111 $104 Price +4.45%, tape −20.4 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 90 (99th pct) · quality 94 · 166,855 contracts
pass Stable 0.84 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led WMT’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.36, n=50)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
What traded today · 62%
+20.4 pts
110,848 calls · 56,007 puts · bias +32.9
What’s on the books · 38%
+9.9 pts
851,517 call OI · 500,662 put OI · bias +25.9
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +4.45% · tape −20.4 · corr 0.24
● peak +53 ◆ −11.1 in a day ▼ low +30.2 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $111 $104 Over 30 days, price has risen 4.45% while the tape has faded 20.4 points. The two are drifting apart.
30% hit rate · 685 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$110.43 → $110.43
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$110.56 → $110.43
−0.12% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$110.56 → $110.43
−0.12% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$110.56 → $110.43
−0.12% miss
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $115 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about WMT
What is behind today’s +30.2?
The composite has held within 0.7 points of +30.2 across the last 8 sessions.+20.4 from volume and +9.9 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 14:32 method · 62/38
Compare with GME Why is our WMT record what it is? What’s the $115 wall?