XLE has the strongest read; IWM has the most behind it.
One lean bullish, one bearish. The difference is evidence and record: IWM’s read rests on 412,364 contracts but our 4h record on it is 19%; XLE’s bucket hasn’t paid historically.
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| The read | Mildly bullish | Neutral | Mildly bearish |
| −100 · 0 · +100 | |||
| Composite | +22.4 | −6.6 | −19.5 |
| Evidence | 74 | 85 | 80 |
| Quality | 91 | 93 | 85 |
| Price | $65.70 | $270.44 | $776.93 |
| Contracts today | 18,723 | 412,364 | 14,221,662 |
| Calibration | hasn’t paid −1.55% · n=2,677 | neutral · +0.64% · n=659 | has paid −0.21% · n=201 |
| 30d tape (ink) vs price (dashed) | |||
| Our record here, 4h | 16% of 590 checked | 19% of 2,000 checked | 3% of 1,123 checked |
02
Tape, 43 days, same axis
XLEIWMSPYtape_history · hourly, daily close shown
All values from the same rows as each stock page (stock_scores, tape_history, score_outcomes, tape calibration). Compare keeps the stock-page glyphs so nothing needs relearning.