XLK has the strongest read; XLF has the most behind it.
Both lean bearish. The difference is evidence and record: XLF’s read rests on 184,520 contracts but our 4h record on it is 6%; XLK’s bucket has paid historically.
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| The read | Mildly bearish | Strongly bearish |
| −100 · 0 · +100 | ||
| Composite | −24.5 | −57.5 |
| Evidence | 79 | 76 |
| Quality | 84 | 84 |
| Price | $53.62 | $199.81 |
| Contracts today | 184,520 | 142,801 |
| Calibration | has paid −0.36% · n=233 | has paid −0.28% · n=803 |
| 30d tape (ink) vs price (dashed) | ||
| Our record here, 4h | 6% of 522 checked | 8% of 226 checked |
02
Tape, 43 days, same axis
XLFXLKtape_history · hourly, daily close shown
All values from the same rows as each stock page (stock_scores, tape_history, score_outcomes, tape calibration). Compare keeps the stock-page glyphs so nothing needs relearning.