ARKK ARKK
$87.60 · +0.00% vs $87.60 close · scored 06:25 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 77/100
What changed
Composite strengthened 37.5 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 77/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · signal has been stable · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read
The read
Mildly bullish, well evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+13.1 composite┆ −24.4 yesterday (+37.5) +0.0 vs a week ago
Evidence
77 / 100 · top 3% today
16,696 contracts · quality 93 · stability 0.94
hasn’t paid −1.55% · n=2,677
What traded today · weight 62%
+19.5 pts
10,967 calls · 65.7% 5,729 puts
bias +31.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−6.4 pts
61,367 call OI · 41.6% 86,144 put OI
bias −16.8 × 0.38
Equals
+13.1
75% of the score comes from today’s volume, 25% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +5.05% · tape +39.1 · corr 0.22
▼ low −58.1 ◆ +41.4 in a day ● peak +13 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-13 10-17 $91 $84 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 5.05% while the tape has firmed 39.1 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 77 (97th pct) · quality 93 · 16,696 contracts
pass Stable 0.94 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 47
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.55% avg, n=2,677
pass Tape has led price tape has led ARKK’s price by 1 day (r=0.19, n=40)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on ARKK is poor 6% hit rate on 1918 closed calls · payoff 0.20×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $87.60 highlighted. The $85 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 16,649). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on ARKK Proof 8 Oct · 4h
$87.60 → $87.60
+0.00% flat
4 Oct · 4h
$89.83 → $89.83
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$89.83 → $89.83
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$90.96 → $90.96
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1677 of these 1918 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta 2.031
52w $62.95–$92.65 IV rank —
Ask about ARKK answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from −17 to +13 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was −24.4 on 7 Oct, then rose to +13.1 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $89.83 to $89.83. It’s at +13.1 now.+19.5 from volume and −6.4 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 41 pts stock_scores · 06:25 method · 62/38
Compare with IWM Why is our ARKK record what it is? What’s the $85 wall?
What our data projects
+0.39 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#39 of 855 · helped by quality, confidence, price momentum (5 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $85 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
ARKK · etf
Mildly bullish, well evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+13.1 ┆ −24.4 yday evidence
hasn’t paid −1.55% · n=2,677
Why it’s +13
+19.5 volume · 66% calls−6.4 OI · 42% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +41.4 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-13 10-17 $91 $84 Price +5.05%, tape +39.1 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 77 (97th pct) · quality 93 · 16,696 contracts
pass Stable 0.94 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 47
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.55% avg, n=2,677
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
What traded today · 62%
+19.5 pts
10,967 calls · 5,729 puts · bias +31.4
What’s on the books · 38%
−6.4 pts
61,367 call OI · 86,144 put OI · bias −16.8
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +5.05% · tape +39.1 · corr 0.22
▼ low −58.1 ◆ +41.4 in a day ● peak +13 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-13 10-17 $91 $84 Over 30 days, price has risen 5.05% while the tape has firmed 39.1 points. They agree.
6% hit rate · 1918 closed
8 Oct · 4h
$87.60 → $87.60
+0.00% flat
4 Oct · 4h
$89.83 → $89.83
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$89.83 → $89.83
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$90.96 → $90.96
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $85 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about ARKK
Why did the score rise from −17 to +13 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was −24.4 on 7 Oct, then rose to +13.1 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $89.83 to $89.83. It’s at +13.1 now.+19.5 from volume and −6.4 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 41 pts stock_scores · 06:25 method · 62/38
Compare with IWM Why is our ARKK record what it is? What’s the $85 wall?