GGR Gogoro Inc
$3.12 · +11.43% vs $2.80 close · scored 14:49 · stale
Decision brief
BEARISH · 21/100
What changed
Composite weakened 87.7 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 21/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · signal has been stable
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · evidence confidence is weak · data quality is weak
The read
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−45.7 composite┆ +42.0 yesterday (−87.7) −115.4 vs a week ago
Evidence
21 / 100 · top 100% today
1 contracts · quality 20 · stability 0.83
hasn’t paid +0.10% · n=21,921
What traded today · weight 62%
−62.0 pts
0 calls · 0.0% 1 puts
bias −100.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+16.3 pts
5 call OI · 71.4% 2 put OI
bias +42.9 × 0.38
Equals
−45.7
79% of the score comes from today’s volume, 21% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +6.87% · tape −123.3 · corr 0.10
● peak +89 ▼ low −45.7 ◆ −87.7 in a day 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $3 $3 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 6.87% while the tape has faded 123.3 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 21 (0th pct) · quality 20 · 1 contracts
pass Stable 0.83 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → +0.10% avg, n=21,921
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led GGR’s tape by 2 days (r=0.32, n=45)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
against Our record on GGR is poor 21% hit rate on 468 closed calls · payoff 1.92×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $3.12 highlighted. The $7.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 5).
9 Oct · 4h
$3.12 → $3.12
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$2.90 → $3.12
+7.59% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$2.80 → $3.12
+11.43% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$2.80 → $3.12
+11.43% hit
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 186 of these 468 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street Sell-leaning Next report 24 Aug BMO
P/E — Beta 1.013
52w $2.02–$6.50 IV rank —
Ask about GGR answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +70 to −46 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +42.0 on 8 Oct, then fell to −45.7 on 9 Oct as the price moved from $2.99 to $2.80. It’s at −45.7 now.−62.0 from volume and +16.3 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 14:49 method · 62/38
Compare with NIO Why is our GGR record what it is? What’s the $7.5 wall?
What our data projects
−0.10 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#337 of 635 · helped by tape composite, price momentum (5 days), volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $7.5 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Gogoro Inc · Automobiles
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−45.7 ┆ +42.0 yday evidence
hasn’t paid +0.10% · n=21,921
Why it’s −46
−62.0 volume · 0% calls+16.3 OI · 71% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −87.7 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $3 $3 Price +6.87%, tape −123.3 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 21 (0th pct) · quality 20 · 1 contracts
pass Stable 0.83 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → +0.10% avg, n=21,921
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led GGR’s tape by 2 days (r=0.32, n=45)
What traded today · 62%
−62.0 pts
0 calls · 1 puts · bias −100.0
What’s on the books · 38%
+16.3 pts
5 call OI · 2 put OI · bias +42.9
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +6.87% · tape −123.3 · corr 0.10
● peak +89 ▼ low −45.7 ◆ −87.7 in a day 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $3 $3 Over 30 days, price has risen 6.87% while the tape has faded 123.3 points. The two are drifting apart.
21% hit rate · 468 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$3.12 → $3.12
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$2.90 → $3.12
+7.59% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$2.80 → $3.12
+11.43% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$2.80 → $3.12
+11.43% hit
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $7.5 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about GGR
Why did the score drop from +70 to −46 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +42.0 on 8 Oct, then fell to −45.7 on 9 Oct as the price moved from $2.99 to $2.80. It’s at −45.7 now.−62.0 from volume and +16.3 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 14:49 method · 62/38
Compare with NIO Why is our GGR record what it is? What’s the $7.5 wall?