GLD GLD
$378.62 · +0.00% vs $378.62 close · scored 12:55 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 75/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 75/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, well evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+25.2 composite+0.0 vs a week ago
Evidence
75 / 100 · top 5% today
61,483 contracts · quality 82 · stability 0.00
has paid +2.09% · n=3,360
What traded today · weight 62%
+19.7 pts
40,506 calls · 65.9% 20,977 puts
bias +31.8 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+5.5 pts
86,651 call OI · 57.3% 64,585 put OI
bias +14.6 × 0.38
Equals
+25.2
78% of the score comes from today’s volume, 22% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −6.13% · tape +15.5 · corr 0.30
● peak +35 ◆ −13.5 in a day ▼ low +16.7 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-14 10-17 $403 $376 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 6.13% while the tape has firmed 15.5 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 75 (95th pct) · quality 82 · 61,483 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · high liquidity → +2.09% avg, n=3,360
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led GLD’s tape by 2 days (r=0.30, n=39)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
pass Our record on GLD is good 61% hit rate on 994 closed calls · payoff 1.67×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $378.62 highlighted. The $350 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 10,918). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
9 Oct · 4h
$378.62 → $378.62
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$378.62 → $378.62
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$378.62 → $378.62
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$378.62 → $378.62
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 259 of these 994 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta 0.185
52w $351.40–$509.70 IV rank —
Ask about GLD answers from FlowDesk data only
You
What is behind today’s +25.2?
FlowDesk
The composite has held within 1.2 points of +25.2 across the last 8 sessions.+19.7 from volume and +5.5 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 40 pts stock_scores · 12:55 method · 62/38
Compare with IWM Why is our GLD record what it is? What’s the $350 wall?
What our data projects
+0.28 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#98 of 855 · helped by quality, call/put volume tilt, confidence. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $350 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
GLD · etf
Strongly bullish, well evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+25.2 evidence
has paid +2.09% · n=3,360
Why it’s +25
+19.7 volume · 66% calls+5.5 OI · 57% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −13.5 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-14 10-17 $403 $376 Price −6.13%, tape +15.5 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 75 (95th pct) · quality 82 · 61,483 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led GLD’s tape by 2 days (r=0.30, n=39)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
What traded today · 62%
+19.7 pts
40,506 calls · 20,977 puts · bias +31.8
What’s on the books · 38%
+5.5 pts
86,651 call OI · 64,585 put OI · bias +14.6
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −6.13% · tape +15.5 · corr 0.30
● peak +35 ◆ −13.5 in a day ▼ low +16.7 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-14 10-17 $403 $376 Over 30 days, price has fallen 6.13% while the tape has firmed 15.5 points. The two are drifting apart.
61% hit rate · 994 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$378.62 → $378.62
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$378.62 → $378.62
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$378.62 → $378.62
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$378.62 → $378.62
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $350 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about GLD
What is behind today’s +25.2?
The composite has held within 1.2 points of +25.2 across the last 8 sessions.+19.7 from volume and +5.5 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 40 pts stock_scores · 12:55 method · 62/38
Compare with IWM Why is our GLD record what it is? What’s the $350 wall?