JD JD.com Inc
$26.91 · +0.00% vs $26.91 close · scored 14:19 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 56/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 56/100
For the read
No strong confirming evidence isolated.
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low
The read
Neutral, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−2.9 composite−18.7 vs a week ago
Evidence
56 / 100 · top 47% today
6,569 contracts · quality 73 · stability 0.00
neutral · −0.51% · n=4,671
What traded today · weight 62%
−7.0 pts
2,916 calls · 44.4% 3,653 puts
bias −11.2 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+4.0 pts
33,647 call OI · 55.3% 27,215 put OI
bias +10.6 × 0.38
Equals
−2.9
63% of the score comes from today’s volume, 37% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −2.78% · tape −11.5 · corr 0.33
● peak +45 ▼ low −24.6 ◆ +51.6 in a day 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $27 $26 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 2.78% while the tape has faded 11.5 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 56 (53th pct) · quality 73 · 6,569 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 92
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · mid liquidity → −0.51% avg, n=4,671
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led JD’s tape by 3 days (r=-0.21, n=44)
note Our record on JD is mixed 37% hit rate on 418 closed calls · payoff 1.46×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $26.91 highlighted. The $27 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 9,220). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
9 Oct · 4h
$26.91 → $26.91
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$26.91 → $26.91
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$26.91 → $26.91
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$26.91 → $26.91
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 164 of these 418 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 14.42 · fwd 6.88 Beta 1.299
52w $95.80–$143.80 IV rank —
Ask about JD answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +16 to −3 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +15.8 on 7 Oct, then fell to −3.6 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $25.79 to $27.03. It’s at −2.9 now.−7.0 from volume and +4.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 14:19 method · 62/38
Compare with BABA Why is our JD record what it is? What’s the $27 wall?
What our data projects
−0.54 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#590 of 635 · helped by tape composite, composite change (3 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $27 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
JD.com Inc · Retail
Neutral, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−2.9 evidence
neutral · −0.51% · n=4,671
Why it’s −3
−7.0 volume · 44% calls+4.0 OI · 55% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +51.6 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $27 $26 Price −2.78%, tape −11.5 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 56 (53th pct) · quality 73 · 6,569 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 92
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · mid liquidity → −0.51% avg, n=4,671
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led JD’s tape by 3 days (r=-0.21, n=44)
What traded today · 62%
−7.0 pts
2,916 calls · 3,653 puts · bias −11.2
What’s on the books · 38%
+4.0 pts
33,647 call OI · 27,215 put OI · bias +10.6
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −2.78% · tape −11.5 · corr 0.33
● peak +45 ▼ low −24.6 ◆ +51.6 in a day 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $27 $26 Over 30 days, price has fallen 2.78% while the tape has faded 11.5 points. They agree.
37% hit rate · 418 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$26.91 → $26.91
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$26.91 → $26.91
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$26.91 → $26.91
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$26.91 → $26.91
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $27 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about JD
Why did the score drop from +16 to −3 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +15.8 on 7 Oct, then fell to −3.6 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $25.79 to $27.03. It’s at −2.9 now.−7.0 from volume and +4.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 14:19 method · 62/38
Compare with BABA Why is our JD record what it is? What’s the $27 wall?