NIU NIU Technologies
$1.88 · +1.62% vs $1.85 close · scored 19:44 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 42/100
What changed
Composite strengthened 58.9 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 42/100
For the read
open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
evidence confidence is weak · data quality is weak
The read
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+30.6 composite┆ −28.3 yesterday (+58.9) −58.0 vs a week ago
Evidence
42 / 100 · top 77% today
38 contracts · quality 42 · stability 0.64
has paid +31.94% · n=11,250
What traded today · weight 62%
−3.3 pts
18 calls · 47.4% 20 puts
bias −5.3 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+33.8 pts
1,003 call OI · 94.5% 58 put OI
bias +89.1 × 0.38
Equals
+30.6
9% of the score comes from today’s volume, 91% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −4.88% · tape −59.0 · corr 0.28
▼ low −29.4 ● peak +96 ◆ −116.9 in a day 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-08 $2 $2 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 4.88% while the tape has faded 59.0 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 42 (23th pct) · quality 42 · 38 contracts
note Jumpy 0.64 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bullish · balanced · low liquidity → +31.94% avg, n=11,250
note No reliable lead enough history exists, but no tape/price lead clears the reliability threshold (r=0.00, n=45)
against Our record on NIU is poor 7% hit rate on 2000 closed calls · payoff 1.93×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $1.88 highlighted. The $2.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 664). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
8 Oct · 4h
$1.88 → $1.88
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$1.85 → $1.85
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$1.85 → $1.85
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$1.87 → $1.87
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1622 of these 2000 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E — · fwd 16.69 Beta -0.323
52w $1.79–$5.67 IV rank —
Ask about NIU answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +89 to +31 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +88.6 on 1 Oct, then fell to −28.3 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $1.87 to $1.87. It’s at +30.6 now.−3.3 from volume and +33.8 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 19:44 method · 62/38
Compare with NIO Why is our NIU record what it is? What’s the $2.5 wall?
What our data projects
−0.69 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#619 of 635 · helped by volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $2.5 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
NIU Technologies · Automobiles
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+30.6 ┆ −28.3 yday evidence
has paid +31.94% · n=11,250
Why it’s +31
−3.3 volume · 47% calls+33.8 OI · 95% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −116.9 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-08 $2 $2 Price −4.88%, tape −59.0 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 42 (23th pct) · quality 42 · 38 contracts
note Jumpy 0.64 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
note No reliable lead enough history exists, but no tape/price lead clears the reliability threshold (r=0.00, n=45)
against Our record on NIU is poor 7% hit rate on 2000 closed calls · payoff 1.93×
What traded today · 62%
−3.3 pts
18 calls · 20 puts · bias −5.3
What’s on the books · 38%
+33.8 pts
1,003 call OI · 58 put OI · bias +89.1
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −4.88% · tape −59.0 · corr 0.28
▼ low −29.4 ● peak +96 ◆ −116.9 in a day 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-08 $2 $2 Over 30 days, price has fallen 4.88% while the tape has faded 59.0 points. They agree.
7% hit rate · 2000 closed
8 Oct · 4h
$1.88 → $1.88
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$1.85 → $1.85
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$1.85 → $1.85
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$1.87 → $1.87
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $2.5 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about NIU
Why did the score drop from +89 to +31 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +88.6 on 1 Oct, then fell to −28.3 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $1.87 to $1.87. It’s at +30.6 now.−3.3 from volume and +33.8 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 19:44 method · 62/38
Compare with NIO Why is our NIU record what it is? What’s the $2.5 wall?