PFE Pfizer Inc
$27.99 · +0.59% vs $27.82 close · scored 15:43 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 67/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 67/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+24.9 composite+1.1 vs a week ago
Evidence
67 / 100 · top 19% today
7,471 contracts · quality 81 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −1.08% · n=2,328
What traded today · weight 62%
+8.5 pts
4,247 calls · 56.8% 3,224 puts
bias +13.7 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+16.4 pts
212,579 call OI · 71.6% 84,166 put OI
bias +43.3 × 0.38
Equals
+24.9
34% of the score comes from today’s volume, 66% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +0.14% · tape −14.2 · corr 0.49
● peak +55 ▼ low +21.5 ◆ −27.2 in a day 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $29 $27 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 0.14% while the tape has faded 14.2 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 67 (81th pct) · quality 81 · 7,471 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 39
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · balanced · mid liquidity → −1.08% avg, n=2,328
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led PFE’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.30, n=51)
against Our record on PFE is poor 28% hit rate on 1404 closed calls · payoff 1.53×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $27.99 highlighted. The $28 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 48,628). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
28%
hit rate · 1404 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$27.99 → $27.99
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$27.82 → $27.99
+0.59% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$27.82 → $27.99
+0.59% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$27.82 → $27.82
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 902 of these 1404 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Mixed Next report —
P/E 35.94 · fwd 9.58 Beta 0.312
52w $23.62–$29.21 IV rank —
Ask about PFE answers from FlowDesk data only
You
What is behind today’s +24.9?
FlowDesk
The composite has held within 1.1 points of +24.9 across the last 8 sessions.+8.5 from volume and +16.4 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 52 pts stock_scores · 15:43 method · 62/38
Compare with MRK Why is our PFE record what it is? What’s the $28 wall?
What our data projects
−0.28 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#479 of 635 · helped by quality, confidence. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $28 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Pfizer Inc · Pharmaceuticals
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+24.9 evidence
hasn’t paid −1.08% · n=2,328
Why it’s +25
+8.5 volume · 57% calls+16.4 OI · 72% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −27.2 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $29 $27 Price +0.14%, tape −14.2 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 67 (81th pct) · quality 81 · 7,471 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 39
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · balanced · mid liquidity → −1.08% avg, n=2,328
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led PFE’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.30, n=51)
What traded today · 62%
+8.5 pts
4,247 calls · 3,224 puts · bias +13.7
What’s on the books · 38%
+16.4 pts
212,579 call OI · 84,166 put OI · bias +43.3
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +0.14% · tape −14.2 · corr 0.49
● peak +55 ▼ low +21.5 ◆ −27.2 in a day 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $29 $27 Over 30 days, price has risen 0.14% while the tape has faded 14.2 points. The two are drifting apart.
28% hit rate · 1404 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$27.99 → $27.99
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$27.82 → $27.99
+0.59% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$27.82 → $27.99
+0.59% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$27.82 → $27.82
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $28 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about PFE
What is behind today’s +24.9?
The composite has held within 1.1 points of +24.9 across the last 8 sessions.+8.5 from volume and +16.4 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 52 pts stock_scores · 15:43 method · 62/38
Compare with MRK Why is our PFE record what it is? What’s the $28 wall?