QQQ QQQ
$759.66 · +0.00% vs $759.66 close · scored 05:30 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 76/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 76/100
For the read
evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low
The read
Neutral, well evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−8.8 composite+0.1 vs a week ago
Evidence
76 / 100 · top 6% today
9,308,911 contracts · quality 85 · stability 0.00
neutral · +1.15% · n=1,055
What traded today · weight 62%
−1.7 pts
4,523,424 calls · 48.6% 4,785,487 puts
bias −2.8 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−7.0 pts
5,020,205 call OI · 40.8% 7,289,519 put OI
bias −18.4 × 0.38
Equals
−8.8
20% of the score comes from today’s volume, 80% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +5.90% · tape +3.0 · corr 0.58
● peak −4 ▼ low −12.1 ◆ −6.2 in a day 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $760 $718 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 5.90% while the tape has barely moved (+3.0). They agree.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 76 (94th pct) · quality 85 · 9,308,911 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 66
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · high liquidity → +1.15% avg, n=1,055
pass Tape has led price tape has led QQQ’s price by 3 days (r=0.19, n=51)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
against Our record on QQQ is poor 4% hit rate on 1125 closed calls · payoff 0.52×
04
Where the positions sit No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
Spot $759.66. The $700 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 431,093). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
3 Oct · 4h
$749.55 → $749.55
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$753.34 → $753.34
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$743.60 → $743.60
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$742.30 → $742.30
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1005 of these 1125 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta 1.242
52w $555.60–$756.92 IV rank —
Ask about QQQ answers from FlowDesk data only
You
What is behind today’s −8.8?
FlowDesk
The composite has held within 2.4 points of −8.8 across the last 8 sessions.−1.7 from volume and −7.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 52 pts stock_scores · 05:30 method · 62/38
Compare with IWM Why is our QQQ record what it is? What’s the $700 wall?
What our data projects
−0.24 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#440 of 635 · helped by quality, tape composite, confidence. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $700 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
QQQ · etf
Neutral, well evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−8.8 evidence
neutral · +1.15% · n=1,055
Why it’s −9
−1.7 volume · 49% calls−7.0 OI · 41% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −6.2 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $760 $718 Price +5.90%, tape +3.0 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 76 (94th pct) · quality 85 · 9,308,911 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 66
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · high liquidity → +1.15% avg, n=1,055
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
What traded today · 62%
−1.7 pts
4,523,424 calls · 4,785,487 puts · bias −2.8
What’s on the books · 38%
−7.0 pts
5,020,205 call OI · 7,289,519 put OI · bias −18.4
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +5.90% · tape +3.0 · corr 0.58
● peak −4 ▼ low −12.1 ◆ −6.2 in a day 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $760 $718 Over 30 days, price has risen 5.90% while the tape has barely moved (+3.0). They agree.
No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
4% hit rate · 1125 closed
3 Oct · 4h
$749.55 → $749.55
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$753.34 → $753.34
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$743.60 → $743.60
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$742.30 → $742.30
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $700 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about QQQ
What is behind today’s −8.8?
The composite has held within 2.4 points of −8.8 across the last 8 sessions.−1.7 from volume and −7.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 52 pts stock_scores · 05:30 method · 62/38
Compare with IWM Why is our QQQ record what it is? What’s the $700 wall?