SCHD SCHD
$33.15 · +0.00% vs $33.15 close · scored 10:33 · stale
Decision brief
BEARISH · 55/100
What changed
Composite weakened 34.8 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 55/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Mildly bearish, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−23.5 composite┆ +11.3 yesterday (−34.8) +0.0 vs a week ago
Evidence
55 / 100 · top 35% today
4,055 contracts · quality 75 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.44% · n=91
What traded today · weight 62%
+14.5 pts
2,501 calls · 61.7% 1,554 puts
bias +23.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−38.0 pts
0 call OI · 0.0% 128 put OI
bias −100.0 × 0.38
Equals
−23.5
28% of the score comes from today’s volume, 72% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −5.31% · tape −21.7 · corr -0.06
● peak +57 ◆ −58.4 in a day ▼ low −24.2 08-31 09-06 09-12 09-18 09-24 09-30 10-06 10-17 $35 $33 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 5.31% while the tape has faded 21.7 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 55 (65th pct) · quality 75 · 4,055 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 26
pass This kind of read has paid mildly bearish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.44% avg, n=91
pass Tape has led price tape has led SCHD’s price by 1 day (r=-0.31, n=40)
against Our record on SCHD is poor 11% hit rate on 700 closed calls · payoff 0.78×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $33.15 highlighted. The $25 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 110). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on SCHD Proof 9 Oct · 4h
$33.15 → $33.15
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$33.15 → $33.15
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$33.15 → $33.15
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$33.15 → $33.15
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 477 of these 700 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta 0.711
52w $26.32–$35.31 IV rank —
Ask about SCHD answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +35 to −24 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +31.0 on 8 Oct, then fell to −23.5 on 9 Oct as the price moved from $32.72 to $33.09. It’s at −23.5 now.+14.5 from volume and −38.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 41 pts stock_scores · 10:33 method · 62/38
Compare with IWM Why is our SCHD record what it is? What’s the $25 wall?
What our data projects
+0.00 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#388 of 855 · helped by tape composite, composite change (3 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $25 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
SCHD · etf
Mildly bearish, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−23.5 ┆ +11.3 yday evidence
has paid −0.44% · n=91
Why it’s −24
+14.5 volume · 62% calls−38.0 OI · 0% calls
41 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −58.4 08-31 09-06 09-12 09-18 09-24 09-30 10-06 10-17 $35 $33 Price −5.31%, tape −21.7 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 55 (65th pct) · quality 75 · 4,055 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 26
against Our record on SCHD is poor 11% hit rate on 700 closed calls · payoff 0.78×
What traded today · 62%
+14.5 pts
2,501 calls · 1,554 puts · bias +23.4
What’s on the books · 38%
−38.0 pts
0 call OI · 128 put OI · bias −100.0
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −5.31% · tape −21.7 · corr -0.06
● peak +57 ◆ −58.4 in a day ▼ low −24.2 08-31 09-06 09-12 09-18 09-24 09-30 10-06 10-17 $35 $33 Over 30 days, price has fallen 5.31% while the tape has faded 21.7 points. They agree.
11% hit rate · 700 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$33.15 → $33.15
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$33.15 → $33.15
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$33.15 → $33.15
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$33.15 → $33.15
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $25 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about SCHD
Why did the score drop from +35 to −24 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +31.0 on 8 Oct, then fell to −23.5 on 9 Oct as the price moved from $32.72 to $33.09. It’s at −23.5 now.+14.5 from volume and −38.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 41 pts stock_scores · 10:33 method · 62/38
Compare with IWM Why is our SCHD record what it is? What’s the $25 wall?