TJX TJX Companies Inc
$138.80 · +0.00% vs $138.80 close · scored 11:28 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 54/100
What changed
Composite strengthened 10.6 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 54/100
For the read
open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , but price is moving the other way.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+32.6 composite┆ +22.0 yesterday (+10.6) −14.5 vs a week ago
Evidence
54 / 100 · top 52% today
3,160 contracts · quality 80 · stability 0.73
has paid +31.94% · n=11,250
What traded today · weight 62%
−5.4 pts
1,443 calls · 45.7% 1,717 puts
bias −8.7 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+38.0 pts
107 call OI · 100.0% 0 put OI
bias +100.0 × 0.38
Equals
+32.6
12% of the score comes from today’s volume, 88% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +5.09% · tape −10.3 · corr 0.22
▼ low −13.3 ● peak +47 ◆ +43.2 in a day 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-08 $139 $130 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 5.09% while the tape has faded 10.3 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 54 (48th pct) · quality 80 · 3,160 contracts
note Jumpy 0.73 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 45
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bullish · balanced · low liquidity → +31.94% avg, n=11,250
note No reliable lead enough history exists, but no tape/price lead clears the reliability threshold (r=0.00, n=49)
against Our record on TJX is poor 19% hit rate on 575 closed calls · payoff 0.51×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $138.80 highlighted. The $200 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 89). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
8 Oct · 4h
$138.80 → $138.80
+0.00% flat
5 Oct · 4h
$132.50 → $132.50
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$133.46 → $133.46
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$133.59 → $133.59
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 333 of these 575 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 25.25 · fwd 23.52 Beta 0.603
52w $122.78–$170.00 IV rank —
Ask about TJX answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +47 to +33 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +47.2 on 1 Oct, then fell to +18.0 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $132.31 to $133.59. It’s at +32.6 now.−5.4 from volume and +38.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 50 pts stock_scores · 11:28 method · 62/38
Compare with BABA Why is our TJX record what it is? What’s the $200 wall?
What our data projects
−0.85 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#634 of 635. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $200 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
TJX Companies Inc · Retail
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . Price is moving the other way.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+32.6 ┆ +22.0 yday evidence
has paid +31.94% · n=11,250
Why it’s +33
−5.4 volume · 46% calls+38.0 OI · 100% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +43.2 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-08 $139 $130 Price +5.09%, tape −10.3 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 54 (48th pct) · quality 80 · 3,160 contracts
note Jumpy 0.73 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 45
note No reliable lead enough history exists, but no tape/price lead clears the reliability threshold (r=0.00, n=49)
against Our record on TJX is poor 19% hit rate on 575 closed calls · payoff 0.51×
What traded today · 62%
−5.4 pts
1,443 calls · 1,717 puts · bias −8.7
What’s on the books · 38%
+38.0 pts
107 call OI · 0 put OI · bias +100.0
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +5.09% · tape −10.3 · corr 0.22
▼ low −13.3 ● peak +47 ◆ +43.2 in a day 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-08 $139 $130 Over 30 days, price has risen 5.09% while the tape has faded 10.3 points. The two are drifting apart.
19% hit rate · 575 closed
8 Oct · 4h
$138.80 → $138.80
+0.00% flat
5 Oct · 4h
$132.50 → $132.50
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$133.46 → $133.46
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$133.59 → $133.59
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $200 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about TJX
Why did the score drop from +47 to +33 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +47.2 on 1 Oct, then fell to +18.0 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $132.31 to $133.59. It’s at +32.6 now.−5.4 from volume and +38.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 50 pts stock_scores · 11:28 method · 62/38
Compare with BABA Why is our TJX record what it is? What’s the $200 wall?