VEA VEA
$70.12 · +0.00% vs $70.12 close · scored 21:48 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 66/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 66/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+65.2 composite+0.0 vs a week ago
Evidence
66 / 100 · top 12% today
3,351 contracts · quality 78 · stability 0.00
has paid +0.03% · n=74,841
What traded today · weight 62%
+43.2 pts
2,844 calls · 84.9% 507 puts
bias +69.7 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+22.0 pts
10,806 call OI · 78.9% 2,886 put OI
bias +57.8 × 0.38
Equals
+65.2
66% of the score comes from today’s volume, 34% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −4.54% · tape +1.2 · corr 0.45
▼ low +6.1 ● peak +84 ◆ +77.6 in a day 08-31 09-06 09-12 09-19 09-25 10-01 10-07 10-17 $74 $70 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 4.54% while the tape has barely moved (+1.2). The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 66 (88th pct) · quality 78 · 3,351 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → +0.03% avg, n=74,841
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led VEA’s tape by 2 days (r=0.22, n=39)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
note Our record on VEA is mixed 43% hit rate on 249 closed calls · payoff 2.15×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $70.12 highlighted. The $72 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 2,575). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
9 Oct · 4h
$70.12 → $70.12
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$69.86 → $70.12
+0.37% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$69.86 → $70.12
+0.37% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$69.86 → $70.12
+0.37% hit
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 129 of these 249 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta 0.870
52w $58.88–$74.04 IV rank —
Ask about VEA answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from +33 to +65 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +36.1 on 8 Oct, then rose to +65.2 on 9 Oct as the price moved from $70.26 to $70.26. It’s at +65.2 now.+43.2 from volume and +22.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 40 pts stock_scores · 21:48 method · 62/38
Compare with IWM Why is our VEA record what it is? What’s the $72 wall?
What our data projects
+0.17 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#189 of 855 · helped by call/put volume tilt, confidence, last day's move. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $72 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
VEA · etf
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+65.2 evidence
has paid +0.03% · n=74,841
Why it’s +65
+43.2 volume · 85% calls+22.0 OI · 79% calls
40 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +77.6 08-31 09-06 09-12 09-19 09-25 10-01 10-07 10-17 $74 $70 Price −4.54%, tape +1.2 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 66 (88th pct) · quality 78 · 3,351 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led VEA’s tape by 2 days (r=0.22, n=39)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
What traded today · 62%
+43.2 pts
2,844 calls · 507 puts · bias +69.7
What’s on the books · 38%
+22.0 pts
10,806 call OI · 2,886 put OI · bias +57.8
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −4.54% · tape +1.2 · corr 0.45
▼ low +6.1 ● peak +84 ◆ +77.6 in a day 08-31 09-06 09-12 09-19 09-25 10-01 10-07 10-17 $74 $70 Over 30 days, price has fallen 4.54% while the tape has barely moved (+1.2). The two are drifting apart.
43% hit rate · 249 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$70.12 → $70.12
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$69.86 → $70.12
+0.37% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$69.86 → $70.12
+0.37% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$69.86 → $70.12
+0.37% hit
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $72 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about VEA
Why did the score rise from +33 to +65 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +36.1 on 8 Oct, then rose to +65.2 on 9 Oct as the price moved from $70.26 to $70.26. It’s at +65.2 now.+43.2 from volume and +22.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 40 pts stock_scores · 21:48 method · 62/38
Compare with IWM Why is our VEA record what it is? What’s the $72 wall?