VOO VOO
$711.28 · +0.00% vs $711.28 close · scored 14:42 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 67/100
What changed
Composite strengthened 29.6 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 67/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · signal has been stable
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+14.5 composite┆ −15.2 yesterday (+29.6) +22.9 vs a week ago
Evidence
67 / 100 · top 19% today
3,283 contracts · quality 90 · stability 0.92
hasn’t paid −1.04% · n=9,387
What traded today · weight 62%
+14.8 pts
2,033 calls · 61.9% 1,250 puts
bias +23.9 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−0.3 pts
13,875 call OI · 49.6% 14,097 put OI
bias −0.8 × 0.38
Equals
+14.5
98% of the score comes from today’s volume, 2% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +1.49% · tape −17.4 · corr -0.27
● peak +42 ◆ +30.8 in a day ▼ low −8.4 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $711 $699 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 1.49% while the tape has faded 17.4 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 67 (81th pct) · quality 90 · 3,283 contracts
pass Stable 0.92 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 47
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −1.04% avg, n=9,387
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led VOO’s tape by 3 days (r=0.38, n=39)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
against Our record on VOO is poor 21% hit rate on 651 closed calls · payoff 1.74×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $711.28 highlighted. The $700 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 5,797). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
9 Oct · 4h
$711.28 → $711.28
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$711.28 → $711.28
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$711.28 → $711.28
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$711.28 → $711.28
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 472 of these 651 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta 1.018
52w $578.46–$718.47 IV rank —
Ask about VOO answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from −8 to +14 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was −8.4 on 7 Oct, then rose to +14.9 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $709.05 to $709.05. It’s at +14.5 now.+14.8 from volume and −0.3 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 40 pts stock_scores · 14:42 method · 62/38
Compare with IWM Why is our VOO record what it is? What’s the $700 wall?
What our data projects
−0.20 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#476 of 724 · helped by quality, confidence. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $700 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
VOO · etf
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+14.5 ┆ −15.2 yday evidence
hasn’t paid −1.04% · n=9,387
Why it’s +14
+14.8 volume · 62% calls−0.3 OI · 50% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +30.8 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $711 $699 Price +1.49%, tape −17.4 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 67 (81th pct) · quality 90 · 3,283 contracts
pass Stable 0.92 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 47
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −1.04% avg, n=9,387
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led VOO’s tape by 3 days (r=0.38, n=39)
What traded today · 62%
+14.8 pts
2,033 calls · 1,250 puts · bias +23.9
What’s on the books · 38%
−0.3 pts
13,875 call OI · 14,097 put OI · bias −0.8
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +1.49% · tape −17.4 · corr -0.27
● peak +42 ◆ +30.8 in a day ▼ low −8.4 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $711 $699 Over 30 days, price has risen 1.49% while the tape has faded 17.4 points. The two are drifting apart.
21% hit rate · 651 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$711.28 → $711.28
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$711.28 → $711.28
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$711.28 → $711.28
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$711.28 → $711.28
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $700 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about VOO
Why did the score rise from −8 to +14 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was −8.4 on 7 Oct, then rose to +14.9 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $709.05 to $709.05. It’s at +14.5 now.+14.8 from volume and −0.3 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 40 pts stock_scores · 14:42 method · 62/38
Compare with IWM Why is our VOO record what it is? What’s the $700 wall?