VTI VTI
$377.85 · +0.00% vs $377.85 close · scored 08:51 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 62/100
What changed
Composite weakened 14.1 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 62/100
For the read
signal has been stable
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read
The read
Neutral, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+4.2 composite┆ +18.3 yesterday (−14.1) +0.0 vs a week ago
Evidence
62 / 100 · top 32% today
707 contracts · quality 88 · stability 0.91
neutral · +0.40% · n=12,401
What traded today · weight 62%
−5.7 pts
321 calls · 45.4% 386 puts
bias −9.2 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+9.9 pts
30,775 call OI · 63.0% 18,048 put OI
bias +26.1 × 0.38
Equals
+4.2
37% of the score comes from today’s volume, 63% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −0.50% · tape −41.6 · corr 0.10
● peak +32 ◆ −26.0 in a day ▼ low +4.2 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-10 $380 $375 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 0.50% while the tape has faded 41.6 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 62 (68th pct) · quality 88 · 707 contracts
pass Stable 0.91 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · low liquidity → +0.40% avg, n=12,401
pass Tape has led price tape has led VTI’s price by 2 days (r=-0.32, n=37)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
against Our record on VTI is poor 28% hit rate on 221 closed calls · payoff 1.51×
04
Where the positions sit No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
Spot $377.85. The $385 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 5,624).
2 Oct · 4h
$377.85 → $377.85
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$375.18 → $375.18
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$375.41 → $375.41
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$373.45 → $373.45
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 147 of these 221 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta 1.033
52w $310.40–$385.12 IV rank —
Ask about VTI answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +18 to +4 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +18.3 on 1 Oct, then fell to +4.2 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $375.28 to $375.18. It’s at +4.2 now.−5.7 from volume and +9.9 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 38 pts stock_scores · 08:51 method · 62/38
Compare with IWM Why is our VTI record what it is? What’s the $385 wall?
What our data projects
−0.31 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#566 of 724 · helped by quality, tape composite. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $385 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
VTI · etf
Neutral, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+4.2 ┆ +18.3 yday evidence
neutral · +0.40% · n=12,401
Why it’s +4
−5.7 volume · 45% calls+9.9 OI · 63% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −26.0 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-10 $380 $375 Price −0.50%, tape −41.6 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 62 (68th pct) · quality 88 · 707 contracts
pass Stable 0.91 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · low liquidity → +0.40% avg, n=12,401
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
What traded today · 62%
−5.7 pts
321 calls · 386 puts · bias −9.2
What’s on the books · 38%
+9.9 pts
30,775 call OI · 18,048 put OI · bias +26.1
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −0.50% · tape −41.6 · corr 0.10
● peak +32 ◆ −26.0 in a day ▼ low +4.2 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-10 $380 $375 Over 30 days, price has fallen 0.50% while the tape has faded 41.6 points. They agree.
No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
28% hit rate · 221 closed
2 Oct · 4h
$377.85 → $377.85
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$375.18 → $375.18
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$375.41 → $375.41
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$373.45 → $373.45
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $385 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about VTI
Why did the score drop from +18 to +4 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +18.3 on 1 Oct, then fell to +4.2 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $375.28 to $375.18. It’s at +4.2 now.−5.7 from volume and +9.9 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 38 pts stock_scores · 08:51 method · 62/38
Compare with IWM Why is our VTI record what it is? What’s the $385 wall?