VUG VUG
$87.93 · +0.00% vs $87.93 close · scored 18:51 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 55/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 55/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+21.1 composite−21.4 vs a week ago
Evidence
55 / 100 · top 36% today
1,682 contracts · quality 77 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.04% · n=8,669
What traded today · weight 62%
+8.3 pts
954 calls · 56.7% 728 puts
bias +13.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+12.8 pts
21,808 call OI · 66.8% 10,841 put OI
bias +33.6 × 0.38
Equals
+21.1
39% of the score comes from today’s volume, 61% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +0.02% · tape +8.8 · corr 0.30
● peak +76 ▼ low −1.3 ◆ −66.9 in a day 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-09 10-17 $92 $88 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 0.02% while the tape has firmed 8.8 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 55 (64th pct) · quality 77 · 1,682 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 61
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · balanced · low liquidity → −0.04% avg, n=8,669
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led VUG’s tape by 3 days (r=0.23, n=39)
against Our record on VUG is poor 34% hit rate on 255 closed calls · payoff 1.89×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $87.93 highlighted. The $80 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 3,237). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
17 Oct · 4h
$87.93 → $87.93
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$91.69 → $91.69
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$91.31 → $91.69
+0.41% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$91.31 → $91.69
+0.41% hit
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 147 of these 255 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta 1.237
52w $69.63–$93.00 IV rank —
Ask about VUG answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from −1 to +21 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was −1.3 on 2 Oct, then rose to +43.6 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $90.23 to $91.17. It’s at +21.1 now.+8.3 from volume and +12.8 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 40 pts stock_scores · 18:51 method · 62/38
Compare with IWM Why is our VUG record what it is? What’s the $80 wall?
What our data projects
+0.27 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#108 of 855 · helped by price momentum (5 days), last day's move, composite change (3 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $80 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
VUG · etf
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+21.1 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.04% · n=8,669
Why it’s +21
+8.3 volume · 57% calls+12.8 OI · 67% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −66.9 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-09 10-17 $92 $88 Price +0.02%, tape +8.8 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 55 (64th pct) · quality 77 · 1,682 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 61
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · balanced · low liquidity → −0.04% avg, n=8,669
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led VUG’s tape by 3 days (r=0.23, n=39)
What traded today · 62%
+8.3 pts
954 calls · 728 puts · bias +13.4
What’s on the books · 38%
+12.8 pts
21,808 call OI · 10,841 put OI · bias +33.6
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +0.02% · tape +8.8 · corr 0.30
● peak +76 ▼ low −1.3 ◆ −66.9 in a day 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-09 10-17 $92 $88 Over 30 days, price has risen 0.02% while the tape has firmed 8.8 points. They agree.
34% hit rate · 255 closed
17 Oct · 4h
$87.93 → $87.93
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$91.69 → $91.69
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$91.31 → $91.69
+0.41% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$91.31 → $91.69
+0.41% hit
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $80 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about VUG
Why did the score rise from −1 to +21 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was −1.3 on 2 Oct, then rose to +43.6 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $90.23 to $91.17. It’s at +21.1 now.+8.3 from volume and +12.8 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 40 pts stock_scores · 18:51 method · 62/38
Compare with IWM Why is our VUG record what it is? What’s the $80 wall?