VWO VWO
$59.10 · +0.00% vs $59.10 close · scored 08:41 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 61/100
What changed
Composite strengthened 67.6 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 61/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · signal has been stable
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+59.9 composite┆ −7.7 yesterday (+67.6) +0.0 vs a week ago
Evidence
61 / 100 · top 21% today
385 contracts · quality 83 · stability 0.79
has paid +0.03% · n=74,841
What traded today · weight 62%
+58.8 pts
375 calls · 97.4% 10 puts
bias +94.8 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+1.1 pts
10,493 call OI · 51.5% 9,893 put OI
bias +2.9 × 0.38
Equals
+59.9
98% of the score comes from today’s volume, 2% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −3.10% · tape +70.9 · corr 0.07
▼ low −35.0 ● peak +60 ◆ +67.6 in a day 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-14 10-17 $60 $59 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 3.10% while the tape has firmed 70.9 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 61 (79th pct) · quality 83 · 385 contracts
note Jumpy 0.79 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 25
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → +0.03% avg, n=74,841
pass Tape has led price tape has led VWO’s price by 3 days (r=0.16, n=40)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on VWO is poor 29% hit rate on 223 closed calls · payoff 0.78×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $59.10 highlighted. The $56 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 2,432). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
9 Oct · 4h
$59.10 → $59.10
+0.00% flat
4 Oct · 4h
$59.56 → $59.56
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$59.56 → $59.56
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$59.03 → $59.03
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 141 of these 223 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta 0.638
52w $52.20–$61.54 IV rank —
Ask about VWO answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from −35 to +60 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was −7.7 on 8 Oct, then rose to +59.9 on 9 Oct as the price moved from $59.56 to $59.10. It’s at +59.9 now.+58.8 from volume and +1.1 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 41 pts stock_scores · 08:41 method · 62/38
Compare with IWM Why is our VWO record what it is? What’s the $56 wall?
What our data projects
+0.21 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#152 of 855 · helped by quality, call/put volume tilt, price momentum (5 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $56 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
VWO · etf
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+59.9 ┆ −7.7 yday evidence
has paid +0.03% · n=74,841
Why it’s +60
+58.8 volume · 97% calls+1.1 OI · 51% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +67.6 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-14 10-17 $60 $59 Price −3.10%, tape +70.9 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 61 (79th pct) · quality 83 · 385 contracts
note Jumpy 0.79 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 25
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on VWO is poor 29% hit rate on 223 closed calls · payoff 0.78×
What traded today · 62%
+58.8 pts
375 calls · 10 puts · bias +94.8
What’s on the books · 38%
+1.1 pts
10,493 call OI · 9,893 put OI · bias +2.9
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −3.10% · tape +70.9 · corr 0.07
▼ low −35.0 ● peak +60 ◆ +67.6 in a day 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-14 10-17 $60 $59 Over 30 days, price has fallen 3.10% while the tape has firmed 70.9 points. The two are drifting apart.
29% hit rate · 223 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$59.10 → $59.10
+0.00% flat
4 Oct · 4h
$59.56 → $59.56
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$59.56 → $59.56
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$59.03 → $59.03
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $56 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about VWO
Why did the score rise from −35 to +60 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was −7.7 on 8 Oct, then rose to +59.9 on 9 Oct as the price moved from $59.56 to $59.10. It’s at +59.9 now.+58.8 from volume and +1.1 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 41 pts stock_scores · 08:41 method · 62/38
Compare with IWM Why is our VWO record what it is? What’s the $56 wall?