PSNY Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC
$5.26 · +0.00% vs $5.26 close · scored 07:56 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 49/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 49/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced , but price is moving the other way.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+35.0 composite+0.0 vs a week ago
Evidence
49 / 100 · top 52% today
54 contracts · quality 58 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.02% · n=74,862
What traded today · weight 62%
+27.6 pts
39 calls · 72.2% 15 puts
bias +44.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+7.4 pts
548 call OI · 59.8% 369 put OI
bias +19.5 × 0.38
Equals
+35.0
79% of the score comes from today’s volume, 21% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −32.56% · tape +30.0 · corr 0.09
● peak +65 ◆ +123.4 in a day ▼ low −60.1 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-09 10-11 10-18 $7 $5 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 32.56% while the tape has firmed 30.0 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 49 (48th pct) · quality 58 · 54 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.02% avg, n=74,862
note No reliable lead enough history exists, but no tape/price lead clears the reliability threshold (r=0.00, n=38)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on PSNY is poor 17% hit rate on 590 closed calls · payoff 0.31×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $5.26 highlighted. The $8 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 200). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on PSNY Proof 11 Oct · 4h
$5.26 → $5.26
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$6.23 → $6.23
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$6.38 → $6.38
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$6.36 → $6.36
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 403 of these 590 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Sell-leaning Next report —
P/E — Beta 1.511
52w $6.13–$29.46 IV rank —
Ask about PSNY answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from −60 to +35 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was −60.1 on 10 Oct, then rose to +35.0 on 11 Oct as the price moved from $6.23 to $5.26. It’s at +35.0 now.+27.6 from volume and +7.4 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 39 pts stock_scores · 07:56 method · 62/38
Compare with NIO Why is our PSNY record what it is? What’s the $8 wall?
What our data projects
+0.17 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#217 of 1286 · helped by call/put volume tilt, price momentum (5 days), volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $8 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC · Automobiles
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced . Price is moving the other way.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+35.0 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.02% · n=74,862
Why it’s +35
+27.6 volume · 72% calls+7.4 OI · 60% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +123.4 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-09 10-11 10-18 $7 $5 Price −32.56%, tape +30.0 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 49 (48th pct) · quality 58 · 54 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.02% avg, n=74,862
note No reliable lead enough history exists, but no tape/price lead clears the reliability threshold (r=0.00, n=38)
What traded today · 62%
+27.6 pts
39 calls · 15 puts · bias +44.4
What’s on the books · 38%
+7.4 pts
548 call OI · 369 put OI · bias +19.5
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −32.56% · tape +30.0 · corr 0.09
● peak +65 ◆ +123.4 in a day ▼ low −60.1 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-09 10-11 10-18 $7 $5 Over 30 days, price has fallen 32.56% while the tape has firmed 30.0 points. The two are drifting apart.
17% hit rate · 590 closed
11 Oct · 4h
$5.26 → $5.26
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$6.23 → $6.23
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$6.38 → $6.38
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$6.36 → $6.36
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $8 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about PSNY
Why did the score rise from −60 to +35 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was −60.1 on 10 Oct, then rose to +35.0 on 11 Oct as the price moved from $6.23 to $5.26. It’s at +35.0 now.+27.6 from volume and +7.4 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 39 pts stock_scores · 07:56 method · 62/38
Compare with NIO Why is our PSNY record what it is? What’s the $8 wall?